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Ada Michigan Weather Forecast Discussion

392
FXUS63 KGRR 070622
AFDGRR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 222 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers linger today along slow-moving front

- Frost/Freeze for Tonight, Wednesday night

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 221 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

- Showers linger today along slow-moving front

The upper ridging of the past week is being replaced by a trough moving through the next couple days. For today, a band of showers and isolated thunderstorms will be slowly sinking south and east across the forecast area through this afternoon.

An axis of marginal instability along with deep layer shear of 25 to 30 knots will be along southern Lower Michigan early this morning and transient bowing line segments could bring an isolated wind threat before the surface cold front clears that area. Showers and isolated post-frontal elevated thunderstorms could persist until afternoon across the far southeast.

Northerly flow of drier air will result in clearing skies this evening.

- Frost/Freeze for Tonight, Wednesday night

Surface high moves over the Great Lakes region bringing much cooler temperatures. Lows tonight will fall into the 30s with areas of frost across the northern interior. There could be enough wind persisting to prevent widespread freezing temperatures until Wednesday night when the surface ridge axis is across Lower Michigan, allowing winds to decouple, providing more optimal radiational cooling conditions.

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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 221 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Expect MVFR conditions to lower to IFR overnight as low stratus forms with ceilings of 500 to 800 feet AGL possible through the morning across central Lower Michigan. Conditions will improve from northwest to southeast through the morning and afternoon as drier air moves in behind a cold front. Winds will go north around 10 knots.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 221 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

North winds around 10 to 20 knots today with waves potentially building to 3 to 5 feet for a few hours this evening. Will hold off on a small craft advisory at this time given the marginal and transient threat. High pressure building in will bring more tranquil conditions for Wednesday and Thursday.

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.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...Ostuno MARINE...Ostuno

NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion

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