Algernon, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

013
FXUS63 KLBF 210513
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1213 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated to scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms
  into early next week
- Brief warm-up Sunday and Monday, before a cool down by Tuesday
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 401 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
A warm front moves northward on Sunday warming temperatures
into the upper 70s to low 80s, which is around 5 to 10 degrees
above normal. The warmest temperatures will be across western
Nebraska on the nose of the thermal gradient where highs will
reach the low 80s. There will be a weak trof across the Nebraska
Panhandle, but at this time weak forcing and limited
instability will keep the likelihood of shower/thunderstorm
development low and thus have kept PoPs out of the forecast for
Sunday.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 401 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Attention then turns to Monday as a shortwave trof moves
in from the Rockies along with a sfc front. Showers and
thunderstorms will be possible, with the best chance of storms in
the late afternoon/evening timeframe. There is the potential for
strong to severe thunderstorms along with heavy rainfall as both
have been outlooked by SPC and WPC. Expect thunderstorms to develop
along the sfc front, with the greatest threat for severe
thunderstorms generally along and east of HWY 83 with the
environment ahead of the front having 0 to 3km CAPE values around
1000 J/kg and deep-layer shear around 25 to 35 kts. After the front
pushes through Monday/Tuesday temperatures will cool into the 60s
for Tuesday, then moderate into the 70s for the remainder of the
week.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail across western and north
central Nebraska tonight and tomorrow. A band of mid to high cloud
is currently tracking across the region, with ceilings remaining
mostly VFR across the region. The exception is with a band of
showers in the Panhandle, where brief MVFR conditions are observed.
Showers are expected to continue breaking up over the next few
hours, with no impacts to the KLBF or KVTN terminals expected. Winds
remain light throughout the TAF period, generally under 10 knots.
Skies begin to clear by the morning, with additional high clouds
moving in to the region in the evening.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Richie

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion