Alma, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

346
FXUS64 KTSA 062334
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
634 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- Decreasing cloudiness from north to south today, with
temperatures well below normal. A stray shower cannot be ruled out
across far SE OK this afternoon.
- Dry conditions are favored through next week, with only a slight
chance of rain in parts of NE OK Monday night/ Tuesday.
- Temperatures warm back to near or slightly above average by mid
to late week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Earlier shower activity has exited to the south and east of the area
as sfc high pressure continues to expand into the region today.
Expect predominantly dry conditions through the remainder of today
and tonight, though a stray shower cannot be ruled out across far SE
OK this afternoon. Skies clear from north to south today, with
clouds lingering in SE OK the longest. Highs this afternoon likely
remain in the 70s.
Going into tonight, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are forecast
areawide with temps cooling well into the 50s across NE OK and NW
AR/ lower 60s near the Red River. A few of the typically cooler
locations in NE OK and NW AR may even fall into the upper 40s for a
couple hours tonight... well below normal for early September. Some
patchy fog is possible tonight, mainly across parts of SE OK and NW
AR, but low coverage & probability precluded inclusion in the
forecast at this time.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Overall, mostly quiet weather is expected over the next several
days. Temperatures begin to warm tomorrow through Tuesday with
southerly flow returning to the area. This provides highs in the
lower-mid 80s areawide. Upper level ridging moves overhead Wednesday
through the remainder of the week with highs climbing back to near
or slightly above average (upper 80s/ lower 90s). A subtle shortwave
may allow some rain/ thunder to creep into far western portions of
the FA Monday night/ Tuesday (10-20% chance). However, the higher
precip chances are currently expected to remain north and west of
the area through the extended period with mainly dry conditions
across E OK & NW AR.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
High pressure has settled into the area today, with drier air
filtering in from north to south. Low clouds continue across far sern
OK, but forecast sites pretty much VFR clear except MLC, where some
passing mid clouds will pose VFR CIGS for a couple hours into the
forecast period. Still a lot of uncertainty concerning fog
development tonight, but enough data suggest it is quite possible
sern OK, so for now, included TEMPO IFR VSBY in fog MLC late tonight,
as that seems to be the terminal most likely to impacted by it.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   55  82  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   58  85  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   59  82  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   49  81  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   48  82  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   51  81  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   51  81  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
F10   56  80  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   62  80  58  81 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...43
LONG TERM....43
AVIATION...69

NWS TSA Office Area Forecast Discussion