Arcola, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

287
FXUS64 KHGX 131127
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
627 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
- Generally dry and hot conditions expected through the forecast
  period.
- Mostly rain-free conditions are expected through Saturday, then
  some isolated activity in our coastal counties possible
  beginning as early as Sunday afternoon and continuing each
  afternoon through the rest of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Persistence will be the forecast for Saturday as high pressure
remains dominate over the region: high temperatures generally in
the low to mid-90s, lows generally in the low to mid-70s, mostly
clear skies, and little to no chance of rain. This description
will be true for most the area through at least midweek next week,
with the exception of daily slight chance of coastal showers each
day starting Sunday along the sea breeze as the high pressure
begins to weaken. A brief downpour could be possible if a
thunderstorm is able to develop.
As we head into the second half of the week, a bit more uncertainty
makes its way into the forecast. Guidance is indicating of ridging
building over the Desert Southwest producing northwest flow across
eastern Texas. This pattern has been indicative in the past of
bringing clusters of showers or storms into SE Texas as shortwave
troughs embedded in the flow aloft pass through. As of this time, SE
Texas continues to show little to no chance of rain through the end
of next week (with the exception of the isolated coastal activity),
however we will need to watch to see if any of those weak
disturbances move through.
Fowler
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Isolated patchy fog will start to clear up after sunrise, with VFR
conditions and light E/SE winds prevailing. Isolated rain chances
slated to return on Sunday, mainly near the coast.
03
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Light to occasionally moderate east to southeasterly flow
(sustained 10-15kt, occasional gusts to 20kt) will persist through
the start of next week with seas generally between 2-4ft.
Little to no rain chances are expected through Saturday, but could
begin to see isolated showers and storms over the coastal waters
beginning as early as Sunday with slight chances continuing through
the week.
The persistent onshore flow will lead to higher than normal high
tides through at least the start of next week, peaking at around 3.3-
3.5ft above MLLW at times of high tide.
Fowler
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  94  70  93  71 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  95  75  92  74 /   0   0  20   0
Galveston (GLS)  89  79  88  81 /   0  10  20   0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Fowler
AVIATION...03
MARINE...Fowler

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion