Baker, California Weather Forecast Discussion

874
FXUS65 KVEF 080900
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
200 AM PDT Mon Sep 8 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Dense smoke and poor air quality to continue through the morning
  hours in the northern Owens Valley, and may reoccur the next few
  nights.
* A Pacific trough brings cooler, drier, and windier conditions
  this week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...through Sunday.
Area webcams show the dense wildfire smoke that settled into the
northern Owens Valley this evening. Visibility at the Bishop Airport
has ranged between 1-2 miles all night. Meanwhile, air quality
sensors depict unhealthy air quality in the area. These conditions
are likely to persist through the morning hours. By the afternoon,
surface heating and increased winds should help mix out and disperse
some of the smoke, but it may return again in the evening and
subsequent evenings. Behavior of the Garnet Fire will dictate the
severity of smoke.
Otherwise, the main weather of note will be the seasonably pleasant
conditions expected this week thanks to a Pacific trough pushing
into the region. Southwest breezes have already begun to scour out
moisture and precipitation chances, and that continues today with
PoPs limited to Mohave County and only ~10%. Beyond that, the only
notable precipitation chances (10-30%) reside in the Sierra and our
NW zones due to the trough itself. For the rest of the area,
expecting dry conditions and gusty southwest winds of 20-40 mph this
week. Temperatures across the area gradually decrease through
Thursday, eventually falling 8-12 degrees below normal. As we head
into the weekend, temperatures rebound slightly while quieter
conditions return.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast
Package...Southwest winds tonight will generally remain around 8KT,
with lighter winds possible early Monday morning. Breezy south to
southwest winds are expected again Monday late morning through the
afternoon, with gusts to around 20KT expected. The strongest gusts
should be after 20Z. Winds are expected to diminish after sunset
Monday, but will remain elevated around 10KT. VFR conditions with
temperatures under 100F expected through the TAF period.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...North winds will
continue to push smoke into the Owens Valley tonight. Moderate
confidence in the BIH TAF as visibility restrictions and occasional
low CIGs due to smoke continue through the night. Improvement in
conditions is possible Monday morning, but more likely in the
afternoon after 18Z when southeast winds return. Smoke and impacts
may return Monday evening as winds turn west then north and push
smoke back into the area. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected
overnight across the region with typical overnight wind patterns
persisting. South to southwest winds return Monday afternoon with
gusts 20-25KT through 03z with winds then decreasing to less than
10KT overnight.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Woods
AVIATION...Nickerson
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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion