Beelake, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

291
FXUS64 KJAN 190547
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1247 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
A shortwave disturbance moving into our region from the west today
will provide some lift to help showers and thunderstorms develop -
even if isolated for most of our area. Moisture values are
sufficient enough (PW around 1.5 inches) to support pop up
convection, so do not see any reason why across-the-board slight
chance POPs aren`t warranted. At least some degree of organization
is possible in proximity to the shortwave axis, so POPs are a
little higher in the ArkLaMiss Delta region this afternoon and
early evening.
Tomorrow the forecast area may be more suppressed below upper-
level shortwave ridging, but moisture values should still support
at least a few isolated showers or storms with daytime heating.
Ensured that POPs were included for the afternoon hours Saturday.
The current pattern will break down over the next few days,
resulting in a more progressive zonal flow pattern over the CONUS
through the next work week. A few low pressure systems moving
through the region and deeper moisture pooled in the Deep South
may actually yield some heavy rainfall potential before the week
is over. /NF/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Quiet conditions will occur across all TAF sites with VFR
conditions prevailing. /CR/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       94  69  95  70 /  20  20  20   0
Meridian      94  68  95  68 /  20  20  20   0
Vicksburg     94  69  95  70 /  20  20  20   0
Hattiesburg   96  69  97  69 /  20  20  20   0
Natchez       94  68  94  70 /  20  20  20   0
Greenville    93  68  95  69 /  20  20  20   0
Greenwood     94  67  95  69 /  20  20  20   0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
NF/CR

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion