Benton, California Weather Forecast Discussion

176
FXUS65 KREV 192024
AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
124 PM PDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Showers and isolated thunderstorms return today and potentially
  each afternoon through mid-week.
* Cooler temperatures today, with a slight warming trend through
  next week.
* Another weather system possible as early as Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
It`s feeling quite a bit like fall out there today! Showers
continue to push north today across the area with current KRGX
radar showing showers along the Sierra of Mono county and around
the Tahoe Basin. Mono and S Mineral counties today will have the
best chances for thunderstorms today (10-30%), but an embedded
thunderstorm or two around the Tahoe Basin isn`t out of the
question, either. However, the limiting factor will be the
persistent cloud cover we have today.
As the low pushes out of the area, we can expect the skies to
clear more overnight tonight. HREF CAM guidance continues to
differ on spatial coverage and timing for storms tomorrow. Clear
skies, warmer temperatures, and model PWATs around 0.6" tomorrow
bring higher forecaster confidence in afternoon storm development.
The best areas will be in S Mineral and Mono counties, as well as
in NE CA and N Washoe county, with a 10-20% chance. Storms that
develop tomorrow (and today) will be capable of producing brief
heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and gusty winds. For storms
that do develop, it will likely be after 2 PM tomorrow. However, an
upper-level jet tomorrow afternoon could do one of two things;
either provide the forcing needed to get those storms developing,
or inhibit said thunderstorm development.
Showers may linger Sunday, primarily out in the Basin and Range.
Monday looks to be the driest day of the week before another surge
of tropical moisture follows a similar track to the moisture from
this week. There is increasing confidence in showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
-Giralte
&&
.AVIATION...
Light showers continue for all terminals today, primarily along
the Tahoe Basin. Showers will continue for KMMH as well, where
there is a 10-30% chance for thunderstorms this afternoon. VFR
conditions are expected for all terminals, but reductions to MVFR
conditions remain possible due to brief heavy rainfall. Winds will
continue to be light. Skies are expected to clear after midnight
tonight, raising ceilings. Shower and storm chances return
tomorrow with a 10-20% chance near KMMH.
-Giralte
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&
$$

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