710 FXUS64 KCRP 141051 AFDCRPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 551 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 548 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
- Increasing risk of coastal flooding during high tide at night through the latter portions of next week
- Daily low to medium (20-40%) shower and thunderstorm chances during the upcoming work week
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
The forecast is continuing to remain on track from the previous issuance. Isolated to scattered showers will be possible once again along the Rio Grande Plains as the ridge continues to progress to the east. Chances are still progged to increase as moisture filters back into the region beginning Monday. Some shortwaves are expected to ride the eastern periphery of the ridge coupled with the daily seabreeze, will lead to a low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms through the week. The highest chance for precip will be around mid week (Wed. and Thur.) Chances decrease at the conclusion of the week.
We will still be keeping an eye out for the potential for minor coastal flooding along the Middle Texas Coast. P-ETSS is continuing to indicate seas to be around 2 feet MSL through the majority of next week at the Aransas Pass gauge. This is expected to be coupled with a persisting southeasterly fetch during the high tide cycles. Will have to keep monitoring this due to the history of this producing wave run up at the beaches.
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 548 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
VFR conditions are expected for the majority of this TAF cycle. MVFR visibilities are expected for a few hours this morning at ALI with a low chance for MVFR ceilings to develop from 12-16z across LRD and COT. Winds will increase slightly this afternoon before becoming light and variable once again tomorrow night.
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.MARINE... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Expect east to southeasterly moderate breeze conditions to persist during the day and gentle breeze conditions during the overnight periods through the upcoming work week. There will be a low to medium chance (20-50%) of showers and thunderstorms next week. Seas will generally range from 3 to 5 feet.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 76 91 75 / 0 10 30 10 Victoria 95 71 94 68 / 0 0 20 0 Laredo 98 74 97 72 / 30 10 20 0 Alice 96 72 94 70 / 10 10 40 0 Rockport 91 78 91 77 / 0 10 30 10 Cotulla 97 73 96 71 / 10 10 10 0 Kingsville 93 73 92 72 / 10 10 40 10 Navy Corpus 89 81 89 80 / 10 20 40 20
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.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...JCP/84
NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion