Carlton, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

659
FXUS63 KICT 281729
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1229 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and seasonably warm weather to persist through the end of
  next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 303 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Early this morning, water vapor satellite imagery continues to show
the cutoff mid/upper low meandering across the Desert Southwest with
an elongated deep layer trough draped across the Appalachians and
into the eastern Gulf. In between these features, fairly stout
mid/upper ridging continues to build over the southern and central
plains.
With this pattern expected to remain in place generally over the
next week or so, little to no precipitation is expected across the
area over the next 7 days. Additionally, the aforementioned mid/upper
ridge will support slightly above normal temperatures today, with a
many locations likely experiencing highs in the mid to upper 80s. A
couple of locations hitting 90 can`t be ruled out. A weak cold front
and increasing cloud cover will help to bring temperatures back down
closer to average with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the
upper 50s to low 60s. Temperatures will remain quite consistent
during the work week with little variation in the forecast. A couple
weak shortwave troughs coming off the Rockies towards the latter
portion of the week may induce some surface pressure falls across
the High Plains. As such, a tighter pressure gradient would likely
develop, and a couple of breezy afternoons are possible late next
week, though this may just be confined to western and central
Kansas. Still though, light to somewhat breezy southerly winds will
be another constant in the forecast over the next 7 days.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the period. Southerly winds
will remain at 6-12 kt throughout the period.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...BRF

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion