Cedar Hill, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

859
FXUS64 KOHX 301734
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1234 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
- No hazardous weather expected through this week with dry
  conditions and above normal temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Sunny skies, comfortable temperatures and low dew points are all
making for a great day so far across Middle TN. This is all made
possible by two main factors: first, the high pressure centered over
the midwest US and B) the two tropical systems off the Atlantic
coast. Both factors are providing a bunch of subsidence (which is
why we`re seeing all of the sun) and the northeast boundary layer
flow (which is keeping dew points lower). Now, I don`t think all
of Middle TN is going to keep the full sun all day. Hurricane
Imelda, which is the closest of the two tropical systems to the
mid-state, could provide enough moisture on the west side of it to
increase cloud cover this afternoon and evening on the Plateau. I
would even go so far as to say Cumberland County has a low chance
(10-15%) of seeing a brief shower around sunset. However, shouldn`t
be anything of great significance. Shy of that, the only other
thing we`re mentioning in the short term is some patchy fog
overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
As has been well-advertised, this quiet weather pattern looks like
it`s going to continue for several more days as high pressure
maintains its grip over the region. Temperatures will remain 5 to 8
degrees above seasonal averages, but with the lower dew points, it
should continue to be a comfortable warmth.
Our next chance of rain is starting to look like Sunday or Monday.
The NBM holds off ANY chance of rain until Monday (and that`s still
only 15-20%), but there is some indication by some of our other
extended models that a southern surge of moisture is becoming
possible by the end of this weekend or the start of next week. The
drought monitor from last Thursday didn`t get a chance to account
for much of the rain we saw last week, so while it`ll probably
improve a little with Thursday`s update, we`ll need some rain soon
or drought conditions will persist.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Largely VFR conditions across Middle TN this afternoon, with the
exception of portions of the Plateau where some pockets of MVFR
CIGs are developing. Current thinking is that the increased cloud
cover should be limited to east of Nashville through the TAF
period. NE winds are a little gusty this after (between 10-20
mph), but will calm after sunset.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  89  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    62  89  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     57  81  56  78 /  10   0   0   0
Columbia       62  87  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  84  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      58  82  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   60  85  60  83 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   62  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        61  87  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Cravens

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion