Chambers, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

098
FXUS63 KLBF 021722
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1222 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures remain well above average today through
  Saturday, with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. A cold
  front Saturday night brings cooler than average temperatures
  in its wake.
- Gusty southerly winds are expected Friday through Sunday,
  with the highest gusts on Saturday afternoon. Peak gusts on
  Saturday are expected to be greater than 40 mph.
- Precipitation is not expected today and tomorrow. The frontal
  passage Saturday night brings our next chances for rainfall,
  especially over portions of northwestern Nebraska.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 323 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Upper level ridging remains in place over the western United States,
with a deepening trough observed off the West Coast. A weak surface
boundary is tracking across the Sandhills early this morning, with
little temperature difference across the boundary. 850 mb flow
continues out of the south, bringing warm air advection aloft across
the region. This afternoon, mostly clear skies will allow for
daytime heating across the region. This will set up another day of
much warmer than average highs across the region, with highs in the
mid to upper 80s across the region. For reference, our typical highs
this time of year are around 70 degrees. Skies remain clear
overnight, which will allow for overnight lows to drop into the 50s
across the region.
A similar pattern remains for Friday, with potential for even warmer
temperatures. Highs are expected to climb into the upper 80s across
most of the region, with several locations breaking into the lower
90s. With stronger upper level flow and strong mixing in the lower
atmosphere, winds become gusty again on Friday, with gusts of 25 to
30 mph across most of the region during the afternoon. Gusty winds
remain overnight, which will limit the amount overnight lows drop
off, keeping lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 323 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
By Saturday, the upper level trough is expected to be across the
Rocky Mountains, with a deepening surface low over South Dakota. The
deepening low will bring a cold front across the region Saturday
evening, ushering in cooler temperatures and our next appreciable
chances for rainfall across the region. Before the frontal passage,
one more afternoon of very warm temperatures is expected, with highs
climbing into the upper 80s once again. However, areas across
northwestern Nebraska may get the cold front a bit earlier, capping
highs in the low 80s. With the deepening low over South Dakota, a
strong pressure gradient develops across the region, creating some
very windy conditions across the region. Southerly winds ahead of
the cold front climb to 20 to 30 mph, with gusts in excess of 40
mph. The gustiest winds are expected from southwest Nebraska into
north central and central Nebraska, basically along and east of an
Ogallala to Valentine line. By the evening, showers and
thunderstorms along the cold front bring rain across the region,
with portions of northwestern Nebraska expected to receive the
higher precipitation amounts.
High pressure builds in behind the cold front on Sunday afternoon,
which will help keep cooler temperatures advecting into the region.
Highs on Sunday climb into the 60s, with a few locations reaching
into the low 70s. Winds remain on the gusty side as the low tracks
out of the region, though gusts are only expected to sporadically
reach up to 30 mph.
An active pattern is expected early next week, as several surface
disturbances track across the Plains. This will introduce low end
rain chances early to mid week across portions of the region. Most
notably, temperatures will remain cooler than average through mid
week. Highs are expected to be coolest on Monday, with highs mostly
remaining in the 50s. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday begin to climb
into the 60s. While this is still cooler than average, it is worth
noting the second week in October is when our average highs drop
into the high 60s. With these cooler temperatures by day, overnight
lows begin to dip into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Will need to keep
an eye on these lows, as overnight lows have been a bit on the
"warm" side of the forecast recently, so there is potential that
lows could drop even cooler early next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
VFR conditions will persist the next 24 hours across western
and north central Nebraska. Winds today will remain below 10KT
at the KLBF and KVTN terminals. At KVTN, a southerly wind will
gust to near 20KT at times after 05Z, with prevailing 16015G23KT
after 16Z Friday.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Richie
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Roberg

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion