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Chapman Ranch, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

355
FXUS64 KCRP 091807
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 107 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1228 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

- Seasonal temperatures this week and into the weekend

- Next chance for showers and thunderstorms will be Thursday through Sunday

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

Mid- to upper-level high pressure will continue to build into the Great Plains and Midwest by the end of this week. A few shortwaves will move along the eastern periphery of the ridge late this week, leading to a low to medium (20-50%) chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday, with low (15-40%) chances continuing through the weekend, mainly over the coastal areas. Of note, the NBM has been quite bullish on PoPs in the past few weeks and it seems to be a bit too high for late this week as well. To account for this bias, have blended CONSAll into this to limit precipitation to around 50% Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

VFR conditions are expected under high pressure through the TAF cycle.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 1228 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

A gentle to moderate breeze is expected to persist this week across the Gulf waters with medium to high (40-70%) chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday. As we head into Friday and this weekend, rain chances will drop to 20-40%.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 74 92 75 93 / 10 10 10 40 Victoria 65 95 70 95 / 0 0 0 30 Laredo 73 97 73 98 / 0 10 0 20 Alice 70 95 70 95 / 0 10 10 40 Rockport 75 92 78 92 / 0 10 20 40 Cotulla 70 97 71 98 / 0 10 0 10 Kingsville 72 93 72 93 / 10 20 10 40 Navy Corpus 80 89 81 89 / 10 10 20 50

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...LS/77

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion

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