Cherrylog, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

004
FXUS62 KFFC 141035
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
635 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 128 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Key Messages
- No imminent hazardous weather is anticipated in Georgia.
- Expect dry weather and fair skies through Monday.
Today through Monday:
If Saturdays weather was your thing then you`ll be a happy camper
today and Monday as well. Northeasterly flow, induced by a trough
along the East Coast and ridge over the Ozarks, will continue to
funnel dry air into Georgia. It won`t be as dry as Saturday, but
with precipitable water values languishing near 1.1 inches both
days there won`t be much moisture to go around. A lack of any
meaningful sources of lift will reduce the rain potential even
further. This should lead to 99% of north and central Georgia
remaining dry through Monday. Just like the last couple of days,
diurnal heating over mountains of north Georgia could produce a
few sprinkles between 4 PM and 9 PM either day. Any rainfall would
be very light, lightning free and less than 0.03 inches.
Temperatures through Monday will remain stagnant. Widespread highs
in the mid to upper 80s will be the norm, along with morning lows in
the lower 60s. Lower dewpoints will help temperature trend towards
comfortable values each evening.
Albright
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 128 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Key Messages:
- Dry pattern continues with no meaningful precipitation
   potentially through much of next week.
- Highs in the mid 80s and even low 90s through much of the period.
Weather pattern remains relatively unchanged through the long term
period. Conditions remain dry through the period with PWATs below
the 50th percentile and limited to no mid/upper level shortwave
energy through at least Tuesday. Temperatures through the weekend
and into early next week will be in the upper 80s and low 90s.
Models continue to resolve the cut-off upper level low within the
wave-break. GEFS and ECMWF ensembles show the upper level low
remaining generally along the coast, keeping both tropical moisture
and near surface cyclogenesis mostly along the coast as well. Some
moisture may make it into far northwest GA and, when combines with
upslope flow, may generate some showers or even light thunderstorms.
PoPs remain below 10 percent for all areas except the far northeast
corner of the CWA Tuesday. Would not be surprised to see this to
flip-flop between 0 PoPs and 15% PoPs over the coming days. As the
cut-off lifts northeastward, dry conditions return Wednesday and
Thursday.
Moving into end of day Thursday and early Friday, the ridge portion
of the wave-break pattern collapses with the influx of shortwave
energy from the northern plains. Moisture flux from this wave may
bring PWATs back into the 1.5" range, near the 75th percentile.
Forcing and increased moistures means a return of more meaningful
PoPs into North Georgia Friday afternoon into Saturday. Any decrease
in moisture will result in a similar decrease in PoPs.
SM
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
VFR conditions (unrestricted visibility and cloud bases AOA 5000
ft AGL) will continue through at least 18Z Monday. Winds will
primarily be from the northeast (010-070 degrees today) at 2 to 8
kt, though northwest winds of the same magnitude are expected in
northwest Georgia.
//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Moderate confidence in the winds remaining northeasterly today.
High confidence in the precipitation, ceiling and visibility
forecasts.
Albright
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          85  61  84  61 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         88  67  86  64 /   0  10   0   0
Blairsville     80  59  79  57 /  10  10  10   0
Cartersville    88  65  87  63 /   0  10   0   0
Columbus        89  66  89  64 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     86  63  84  63 /  10  10   0   0
Macon           87  62  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            89  64  88  63 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  88  64  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         87  61  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Albright

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion