839 FXUS64 KFWD 241759 AFDFWDArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1259 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A few showers and storms will continue across the far southern zones through late this afternoon or early evening. Occasional lightning and brief moderate rain may accompany any storm.
- Near normal temperatures will continue through Saturday.
- No rain is in the forecast through mid-next week along with a gradual warming trend across the region.
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.SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Thursday Night/
After this morning`s rain and storms, conditions will continue to improve across our region. A few lingering showers and isolated storms may persist across the far southern counties this afternoon, but most of the activity will shift east and south of our area. The strong/severe threat will also decrease across our region. Given the persistent cloud coverage, this afternoon`s highs will stay in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Breezy north- northwest winds will continue this afternoon before they become light this evening. The cold front is expected to progress east/southeast towards Southeast TX and the MS Valley tonight into tomorrow morning as a surface high settles across portions of the southern Plains. Plenty of sunshine and nice weather is expected tomorrow with highs in the 80s and northerly winds.
Sanchez
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.LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Friday through Mid Next Week/
We`ll wrap up the week with another pleasant and seasonal day with highs in the 80s. The surface high pressure will remain in place over the region through the weekend and early next week. A gradual warming trend will also begin this weekend as winds return to the east/southeast on Saturday and continue through at least next Wednesday. Mid/upper level ridging will also keep our area precipitation free with highs bouncing back to the mid to upper 80s and perhaps some low 90s by next Wednesday. Unfortunately, extended guidance is keeping us above average for temperatures through next week with no sign of another decent cold front approaching our region.
Sanchez
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.AVIATION... /NEW/ /18Z TAFs/
MVFR ceilings will persist across portions of North Texas before gradual clearing takes place in the next 2-4 hours. VFR conditions are expected through tomorrow with northerly winds generally staying below 12 kts. This morning`s showers and storms will continue to move east/southeast with dry weather expected the rest of the period. Waco will continue to see MVFR ceilings through mid-late afternoon before clouds lift/scatter out. No other aviation impacts are anticipated.
Sanchez
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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 83 67 84 65 86 / 60 0 0 0 0 Waco 82 66 85 62 86 / 70 10 0 0 0 Paris 81 63 81 58 84 / 40 0 0 0 0 Denton 83 62 84 59 85 / 50 0 0 0 0 McKinney 83 64 83 60 85 / 50 0 0 0 0 Dallas 84 67 84 66 86 / 60 0 0 0 0 Terrell 83 64 84 61 85 / 60 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 83 67 86 64 86 / 80 5 0 0 0 Temple 83 65 86 61 87 / 80 20 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 83 62 84 59 88 / 80 0 0 0 0
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.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion