Colfax, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

192
FXUS64 KSHV 072212
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
512 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
- No rainfall is expected through next week, as a drier and less
   humid airmass settles across the region. will move into the
   region for much of next week, with a slow and gradually warming
   trend by week`s end.
- However, expect a slow and gradually warming trend by week`s
   end.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Sunny skies have settled across the Four State Region in wake of
yesterday`s cool front. With a large dome of surface High
Pressure in place across the Midwest, a drier and noticeably less
humid airmass continues to push into the region. Temperatures will
only top out in the low to mid 80s this afternoon, which is about
5 to 10 degrees below average for this time of year. But again,
the bigger story will be the lower humidity across the region.
The aforementioned surface High will slide eastward across the
Midwest into the Northeast CONUS this week, but it will continue
to have a large influence on our weather. With the high staying to
the northeast of our area, surface winds across the region will
remain northeasterly due to the clockwise flow associated with
High pressure. These northeast winds will continue to backdoor the
drier and less humid airmass across the Four State Region throughout
the upcoming work week. It will give a hint of early Fall on
Monday and Tuesday, as dewpoints will drop into the low to mid
50s. Temperatures will continue to run between 5 to 10 degrees
below average on these days, with overnight lows ranging from the
mid 50s to low 60s, along with highs remaining in the 80s.
A slight warming trend will kick-off by the middle of the week and
last into next weekend, while upper ridging settles across the
region during this period. Temperatures will return closer to
seasonal averages, with morning lows in the mid to upper 60s, and
afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s. Humidity values will also
be on the increase, as dewpoints will climb back into the 60s.
With some abnormally dry conditions already in place across the
region, drought conditions could become a concern due to the
expected dry weather over the next week or so. /20/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 508 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Beautiful, VFR conditions currently prevailing across our entire
airspace and these conditions are forecast to continue through the
forecast period. We are still dealing with a weak cu field across
portions of Deep East Texas or across the southwest third of our
airspace but eventually as we go through the night, drier air
should continue infiltrating this area of our airspace allowing
for this moisture to dissipate. We should keep light northeast
winds across our region overnight but cannot rule out a brief MVFR
VSBY concern at the ELD terminal where winds will most likely go
calm low temp/dewpt depressions but not enough confidence to put
this into the ELD TAF forecast. Otherwise look for NNE to ENE
winds near 10kts or less through the TAF period.
13
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Spotter activation is not expected through the upcoming work week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  85  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  84  57  89 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  56  81  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  58  83  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  55  82  53  86 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  82  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  59  84  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  86  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...13

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion