Corrona, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

658
FXUS64 KMEG 161649
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1149 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1149 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
- Isolated afternoon showers and storms will continue into
  Wednesday.
- Temperatures will return to the upper 80s and lower 90s this
  weekend.
- Drought conditions are expected to persist or worsen due to a
  lack of appreciable rainfall and prolonged heat. This also
  raises wildland fire concerns through Wednesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Monday)
Issued at 1149 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
The latest HREF guidance indicates potential for isolated shower
and thunderstorm development this afternoon, mainly along the TN
River south towards the MS/AL state line. Any storm that does form
will exist in an environment not conducive for upscale growth.
Therefore, severe weather chances are limited. Instead, expect a
few spotty downpours.
An upper level blocking pattern will continue to breakdown through
Thursday as a low pressure system over the Carolinas retrogrades
towards the Mid-South. By Friday, a secondary low located over the
northern Plains will eject a shortwave towards Missouri. This
system will bring increased rain chances to the Mid-South, though
widespread rainfall is not anticipated. Elevated precipitation
chances will exist through Saturday with storm total amounts
topping out at half an inch.
The extended forecast calls for a large "bowling ball" trough
developing over central CONUS by next Tuesday. Both the GFS and
ECMWF vary in exact placement of this system, meaning next week`s
weather remains hard to pinpoint. Stay tuned.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
VFR conds expected. Light and variable winds will prevail high
pressure moves across the region. Isolated SHRAs/TSRAs expected
this afternoon but minimal areal coverage precludes mentions in
the TAFs.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1149 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
MinRH will fall in the 30 to 40 percent range through tomorrow.
Spotty thunderstorms remain possible this afternoon, though
widespread precipitation is not anticipated. Expect wetting rain
chances to return by the end of the week.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...SJM

NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion