Couch, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

512
FXUS63 KSGF 240726
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
226 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue today.
- More seasonal temperatures and drier weather for the end of
  the week and into the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 226 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Upper level trough persists from the western Great Lakes through
the central plains. The convection which was over the area
earlier in the evening has mostly ended across the forecast
area. A frontal boundary was draped from northeast to southwest
across the area. Low level moisture remains plentiful with
stratus across most of the CWA. Some fog was beginning to
develop.
Rest of tonight into Wednesday Night...Light surface winds and
stratus building down will lead to some fog development. Some
models are suggesting a few hours of dense fog and will need to
monitor for the potential of an advisory as the overnight
progresses. The upper level trough and surface front will
continue to slow progress through the area today. Showers and
thunderstorms will become more numerous as the day progresses
into the afternoon and evening hours before diminishing and
shifting east of the area during the overnight hours. Not
expecting any severe storms, though heavy rain will accompany
the storms. Plan on removing the flood advisory which ends as
12z as we are not expecting much of anything the remainder of
the night. Cloud cover and precipitation will keep high
temperatures in the low to mid 70s.
Thursday...The trough should continue pushing through the
remainder of the CWA on Thursday with any residual showers in
the far eastern CWA ending. Clearing should take place from west
to east as drier air moves into the area behind the trough.
Highs are expected in the mid to upper 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 226 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Generally dry conditions are expected through the remainder of
the forecast period. Temperatures will gradually warm back into
the low to mid 80s as upper ridging builds back into the area.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For the 06z TAFS, indications are for stratus to continue
building down and for some areas of fog to develop. For now have
ceilings dropping down to 2-3 hundred feet and visibility 1-2
miles. CAMS are showing scattered convection mainly during the
afternoon and early evening hours and will maintain prob30 group
for that.  Expecting mainly IFR conditions to continue.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion