Craig, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

621
FXUS63 KOAX 281017
AFDOAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
517 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above average temperatures will continue into next week with
  highs generally in the lower to mid 80s.
- Dry conditions persist through the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Surface analysis shows the "cool" front currently draped from
south of Wichita to KC and continuing east to Chicago. This
leaves the OAX CWA in the cool sector. Temperatures are cooler
than they`ve been in three weeks. Saturday`s lows were set just
before midnight and numbers continue to slip into the 40s this
morning.
Already - in western Nebraska - southerly return flow has begun
to develop as the center of the surface high meanders into
western Iowa. While temps did hit a minor setback on Saturday,
reports of the warming streak`s end have been greatly
exaggerated. With the cloud-less skies and southeasterly winds
of 5-15 mph, temps should improve by 0F (south) to 10F (north).
Max temps should manage mid to upper 80s. Not bad for September
28th when climatological normals are closer to mid-70s.
There will be another plume of wildfire smoke slowly wafting
over the mid-Missouri Valley today, leaving the blue skies
milky. Very little surface smoke is expected and, as such,
limited impacts.
Temps climb another couple of degrees warmer on Monday afternoon
with the continued sunshine and warm air advection. Tuesday
brings an uptick in cloud cover and a drop in forecast temps.
Forcing for ascent is tied to H5 diffluence. Precip is not
expected.
In fact, dry conditions and high temps in the 80s will persist
into the weekend. The 00Z global models suggest southwest flow
will bring precipitation chances to the area and an opportunity
to break the warm spell by the weekend or early next week.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 512 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions persist over the next 24 hours with light
southeasterly winds this morning. Those winds will pick up some
speed over the course of the day and slowly lose a portion of
their easterly component.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Nicolaisen
AVIATION...Nicolaisen

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion