Cyclone, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

346
FXUS64 KFWD 111055
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
555 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Tranquil weather conditions will continue through the weekend
  with afternoon highs in lower to mid 90s.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /Issued 101 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025/
/Through Friday Night/
Slightly warmer conditions are expected today compared to
yesterday with temperatures in the mid 90s across the board. The
area of high pressure we`ve been tracking over the last couple of
days is currently centered near the Midland area, slowly migrating
to the east. By this afternoon, the center of the mid-level high
will be near Abilene with a continued slow eastward progression
into Friday.
Given the strong subsidence aloft, precipitation will remain
outside of North and Central Texas. Afternoon temperatures on
Friday will once again climb into the mid 90s with early morning
temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Hernandez
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 101 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025/
/Saturday Onward/
The axis of the mid-level ridge will be aligned north/south on
Saturday along the I-35 corridor. This will ensure continued
strong subsidence atop our region.
Sensible weather conditions will remain largely unchanged each day with
afternoon temperatures in the lower to mid 90s and morning
temperatures in the 60s and 70s. The tranquil weather conditions
will persist through the next 7 days given the continued influence
of the ridge.
A pattern shift is looming in the horizon as high pressure begins
to build back across the Desert Southwest next weekend. This will
return northwesterly flow to North and Central Texas, allowing
for disturbances to pass atop our region. Although rain chances at
this time remain below 15% in the 8-10 day period, we`ll continue
to assess the pattern for any additional rises in the potential
for precipitation.
Hernandez
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12z TAFs/
No significant weather is expected today or tomorrow across North
or Central Texas. High clouds will stream across the Texas sky
today with light southeasterly winds below 8 kts. No
precipitation, low clouds or wind shifts are expected.
Hernandez
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    94  73  95  74  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                93  70  94  71  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               92  69  93  71  92 /   0   0   0   0   5
Denton              94  69  95  71  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            94  70  95  72  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              95  74  95  75  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             93  70  93  71  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           94  72  95  72  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              93  69  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       95  67  95  69  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion