Delight, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

074
FXUS63 KLBF 280515
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1215 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High temperatures for the next 7 days are forecast to be 5 to
  10 degrees above normal. Normal highs for next week range
  from 72 to 74 degrees.
- Breezy conditions are expected Sunday through Tuesday and possibly
  Wednesday. Southerly winds may gust up to 30 MPH.
- Dry conditions are expected for the bulk of next week, with an
  increasing threat for precipitation late next week into next
  weekend.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
H5 analysis this morning had an area of closed low
pressure  centered just northwest of Yuma Arizona. At trough
extended south of this feature into Baja California. This area of
low pressure was south of a low amplitude ridge which extended from
the Pacific NW into eastern Montana. Further east, a trough of low
pressure was located over the southern Appalachian and extended
south into the northern Gulf. High pressure was located off the coast
of the eastern CONUS and was centered near Bermuda. At the surface
this afternoon, high pressure was centered over south central South
Dakota. Skies were clear and winds were light from the east or
northeast. Temperatures as of 2 PM CT ranged from 71 degrees at
Ainsworth, to 76 degrees at Gordon and North Platte.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Surface high pressure will build east into the upper
Mississippi Valley overnight. This will allow southerly winds to
persist overnight across the area. The combination of a warmer
airmass and light winds tonight, will lead to warmer min temps
compared to what occurred earlier today. Lows tonight will range
from the upper 40s to lower 50s with the coolest readings in
the Platte River Valley. The upper level low, currently over
southern California, will migrate east across Arizona Sunday.
Downstream of this trough, a surface trough will deepen from
eastern Wyoming south to the front range of Colorado. East of
this feature and west of high pressure, located over eastern
Iowa, a tightening pressure gradient will develop across the
forecast area Sunday afternoon, leading to breezy southerly
winds across the area. The inherited forecast has gusts up to 25
MPH Sunday afternoon. With the latest NAM Bufkit soundings
indicate gust potential up to around 30 MPH Sunday afternoon,
will give a 2 to 4 MPH "boost" in winds this afternoon`s
forecast package. Winds will be slow to diminish Sunday evening,
thanks to a continuation of a decent pressure gradient across
the area. Lows Sunday night will be mild for this time of year
with readings generally in the lower to middle 50s. Looking at
the 12z HRRR and 12z NAM12 deterministic solns this morning,
both solns develop an isolated cell or two across western and
northern portions of the forecast area Sunday night. With a zero
percent chance of measurable pcpn. in the latest NBM ensemble
and no support from the WARW and GFS solns this morning, will
continue with a dry forecast.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Broad southwesterly flow aloft will persist across the Rockies
and high plains this week. Weak disturbances will ride this flow
with the threat for precipitation off to the west of the
forecast area. The deterministic GFS and ECMWF solns try to
develop some light precipitation midweek across the western
forecast area. This notion is not supported by the latest GFS
and EC ensembles which show little to no members with measurable
qpf midweek. With this in mind, the dry NBM forecast looks on
track. As for temperatures the latest NBM ensemble forecast has
very little spread in high temps with its members next week with
daily highs centered right around 80 degrees. After dry
conditions for the work week, the next threat for precipitation
arrives Friday night into Saturday as the persistent trough over
the western CONUS migrates east. There is support from ensemble
members for measurable precipitation Saturday, however the NBM
ensemble only has a ~30 percent chance of measurable pcpn.
across the area.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Sunday night
across western and north central Nebraska. Winds strengthen from
the south Sunday afternoon, with widespread gusts of 25 to 30kts
expected.
An increasing low level jet into Sunday night will lead to
southerly LLWS across much of the Sandhills and southwest
Nebraska into early Monday morning.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Buttler
SHORT TERM...Buttler
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...Brown

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion