Dixiana, South Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

999
FXUS62 KCAE 011517 AAA
AFDCAE
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Columbia SC
1117 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Cool and dry weather expected through the rest of the week as
northeasterly flow strengthens. Rain chances increase again
Sunday and into early next week as moisture increases.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Key message(s):
- Breezy winds as drier air moves into the region
- Cooler tonight with below normal temperatures
Much drier air is evident today already as persistent
northeasterly winds continue and will be breezy with some gusts
over 20 mph into the afternoon as the upper trough axis shifts
southward through the region. Mainly scattered high clouds
expected today and with more sunshine temperatures should be a
bit warmer with highs expected in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Forecast soundings show continued drying of the atmosphere with
deep mixing expected today.
A dry front will cross the region tonight reinforcing the drier
air mass while adding some cold advection which will drop our
low temperatures into the 50s areawide, despite non ideal
radiational cooling as winds are expected to remain up through
the night.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Key message(s):
- Cool and dry weather expected.
- Breezy at times, especially during the daytime hours.
Upper trough moves eastward, being replaced by building ridging
by the end of the short term. At the surface, high pressure to
the north will maintain a northeasterly flow keeping the region
cooler and dry. PWAT values will range from 0.5 to 0.75 inches
at daybreak Thursday, rising gradually through the period. A
tight pressure gradient will produce gusty winds during the day
but it appears that values will remain below Lake Wind Advisory
criteria. Temperatures will be below normal both days with
forecast highs in the mid to upper 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Key message(s):
- Rain chances increase Sunday and into early next week.
- Temperatures return to seasonal values.
Weak upper ridging will be the primary driver of the weather
during the extended. Meanwhile, high pressure shifts off the New
England coast, allowing moisture to return to the FA. After a
dry day on Saturday, shower chances will rise on Sunday and into
early next week as moisture moves in from the Atlantic.
Temperatures gradually warm, returning to seasonal values by the
end of the extended.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NE winds and VFR conditions expected
As Imelda pulls away from the area some mid level clouds persist
over the region with VFR ceilings. Well-mixed low levels will
prevent fog development. A 25 kt LLJ will mix down this morning
allowing NE gusts up to 20 kts through midday. Winds speeds
should diminish through the afternoon. No rain is expected today
as drier air works into the region through NE flow. Winds will
stay up again tonight and keep the low levels well mixed and
prevent fog despite mostly clear skies.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...As moisture returns to the region
this weekend we will see rain chances and the chance for
restrictions increase.
&&
.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.
&&
$$

NWS CAE Office Area Forecast Discussion