Doane, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

255
FXUS63 KGLD 240614
AFDGLD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1214 AM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Rain ending early this morning.
- Patchy frost possible in far western Kit Carson and Cheyenne
  counties of Colorado Thursday morning.
- Dry conditions and a warming trend through the rest of the
  week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Rain will continue to push south overnight and end across the
area by early this morning. This afternoon will see partly sunny
skies with perhaps an isolated light rain shower but mostly just
cumulus clouds. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s. Skies will
clear quickly this evening with loss of surface heating and
combined with light winds will see excellent radiational cooling
conditions. Lows will range from the lower 40s in Colorado to the
lower 50s in Norton and Hill City. Coldest models show upper 30s
in far western Kit Carson and Cheyenne counties of Colorado,
which cannot be completely ruled out and would result in patchy
frost in those locations.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Precipitation is forecast to continue across much of the area until
Wednesday morning. An upper-level low is sitting across the CWA and
will slowly be moving on to the east later tonight. We can expect
cooler temperatures to persist across most of the area today, likely
topping out around 60 for locations that are seeing rain by noon.
The southeastern CWA will see temperatures warm into the upper 60s,
which will help fuel some embedded storms in the showers this
evening. CAPE looks to be limited to less than 400 J/kg with lapse
rates remaining under 8 C/km, so the potential for severe storms is
pretty low. However, we could see some small hail drop out of some
storms around 0-4Z where temperatures warm to around 70. The main
threat will be flooding this evening and tonight. There is more
information on the flooding threat in the Hydro discussion below.
Overnight tonight, the precipitation looks to start pushing out of
the northern CWA around 6-9Z and by 15Z, we expected only a few
showers to be lingering around the southeastern corner of the CWA.
Lows are forecast to cool into the mid 40 to mid 50s, the warmer
temperatures will be in the eastern CWA.
Wednesday looks to warm into the upper 60s to mid 70s as a tilted
ridge starts to clear up the sky. Winds will still be from the
north-northeast for most of the day, which will help limit how warm
we get. Overnight Wednesday, temperatures look to cool into the mid
40s to low 50s for the area.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Tue Sep 23 2025
The long-term will be dominated with a high pressure system that
will keep the CWA fairly dry. We could see some gusts around 30 kts
near the end of the week or over the weekend. Temperatures will
generally range from the upper 70s to mid 80s, although there is a
35% chance a few places will see 90 either Sunday or Monday. Low
temperatures will be on a slow warming trend, starting off in the
upper 40s slowly climbing to around 60 by the end of the period.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1106 PM MDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Showers will wind down overnight with brief periods of MVFR
possible at either KGLD or KMCK. Showers will end by around 09z
with VFR prevailing through the remainder of the TAF period.
&&
.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch until 4 AM CDT early this morning for KSZ028-029.
CO...None.
NE...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...024
SHORT TERM...CA
LONG TERM...CA
AVIATION...024

NWS GLD Office Area Forecast Discussion