Elgin, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

951
FXUS65 KVEF 300851
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
151 AM PDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* A series of disturbances will roll through the Western US this
  week, bringing precipitation chances to the Great Basin and dry,
  breezy conditions elsewhere.
&&
.DISCUSSION...through Monday.
Morning satellite imagery shows a broad swath of mid-level and high
clouds associated with an incoming shortwave trough. As it pushes
through the area today, light to moderate rainfall is possible (20-
50% chances) in our Sierra and southern Great Basin zones. Cannot
rule out a few rumbles of thunder in northern Lincoln County.
Elsewhere, dry conditions continue with an uptick in afternoon
breezes. Temperatures remain near seasonable values until late in
the week as our next system moves in. Latest model guidance seems to
be coming into better agreement on the timing and strength of the
shortwave, most-likely arriving on Friday. Similar to today`s
system, late-week precipitation chances (20-40%) look to be largely
confined to the Sierra and southern Great Basin. However, the wind
and temperature response should be more robust, with widespread
gusts of 20-40 mph on Friday and temperatures falling 4-8 degrees
below normal over the weekend. Ensemble guidance suggests troughing
will linger over the western US into next week, keeping temperatures
seasonably cool and breezes elevated.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds
will be light and south-southwesterly through the overnight period
before gusty winds pick up with more of a westerly component Tuesday
late-morning. Gust speeds will range from 20 to 25 kts, with a
directional variability between 180 and 240 (true). FEW to SCT aoa
10 kft through the overnight, morning, and afternoon before skies
clear out after sunset.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwestern Arizona and
southeastern California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Generally
light southerly winds expected overnight, with the exception of
KDAG, with breezy west winds around 10 kts. South-southwesterly wind
gusts will pick up Tuesday late-morning through the afternoon, with
speeds between 20 and 25 kts at Las Vegas and Colorado River Valley
TAF sites. KBIH will experience an occasional gust from the south-
southeast, but will generally remain between 8 and 12 kts. KDAG will
gust from the west around 25 kts. Gust speeds and frequency subside
after sunset. FEW to SCT aoa 10 kft through the overnight, morning,
and afternoon before skies clear out after sunset.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Woods
AVIATION...Soulat
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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion