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Geneva, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS62 KFFC 290627
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 227 AM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 203 AM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

- No direct impacts are expected from Imelda in North and Central GA.

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday with dry conditions the rest of the week.

- High temps falling into the mid 70s and breezy winds each afternoon will lead to fall-like conditions through late week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 203 AM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

A quiet morning to start the work week across north and central Georgia under mostly clear skies with a light easterly breeze and humid temps in the mid to upper 60s. These conditions are being driven by two primary synoptic features, a nearly stationary mid- level low over the Carolinas, and Tropical Storm Imelda over the Bahamas. While Imelda will not have any direct impacts on our area, it will influence the weather conditions through mid-week. That begins today, as low-level easterly flow across the region strengthens due to the influence of Imelda, and moisture pooled over the Carolinas will start to be brought into the eastern half of the state. This will lead to increasing cloud cover, but there will only be enough moisture around to support isolated showers and thunderstorms (10-20% PoPs), primarily during the afternoon and evening hours. The breezy easterly winds (sustained 10-15 mph with gusts of 20-25 mph) and high temperatures in the low 80s will make it feel a bit cooler than recent days.

Tonight through Tuesday morning, the stout easterly winds will continue to pool low level moisture over the area and lead to humid low temps in the mid to upper 60s. Despite the moisture, rain chances will again be low, with only isolated showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening. These will be primarily focused across far north and northeast GA, where the mid-level low will retrograde over as Imelda shifts east into the Atlantic. The east-northeast surface winds will remain breezy, and high temps will again climb into the upper 70s to low 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 203 AM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

By Wednesday when the longterm period starts, Imelda will be curving to the east as the cut off low that has been weakly spinning over the eastern CONUS pushes off into the Atlantic behind Imelda and Humberto. In it`s place a dome of high pressure looks to settle in across much of the southeast as early as Wednesday afternoon. This high pressure will filter in cool and dry conditions across the area with high temps into the mid 70s through Friday before warming just slightly into the weekend with the potential return of moisture late in the long term period. For Wednesday-Thursday the area will be still wedged between the low pressure system pushing off into the Atlantic with Imelda and the high pressure settling into the area. As a result the pressure gradient that sets up will lead to much of the area experiencing breezy conditions up to 25mph. With Imelda pushing further east over the latest runs, model guidance has backed off on higher wind gusts over the area so we are not expecting winds to reach wind advisory criteria at this time. Overall should see nice fall like conditions through at least Friday!

Into the weekend is where the potential for rain comes back into the forecast with PoPs topping out at 25% for now over central Georgia. It`s a bit too far out to put specifics into it but models are indicating a swing of energy as a low pressure system pushes across the gulf coast increasing moisture along our central Georgia counties. May get some marginal relief for areas that desperately need the rainfall!

&&

.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 136 AM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

VFR conditions expected through most of the overnight period with SCT MVFR CIGs starting to move in from the east from early to mid-morning for the ATL area sites. MCN and AHN likely stay in BKN-OVC MVFR CIGs after 14Z, with ISO SHRA also possible 20-00Z. Widespread MVFR to IFR CIGs likely develop at all sites after 00Z this evening. E/ENE winds will pick up from late morning through the evening with gusts up to 20kts.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium confidence on CIGs. High confidence on remaining elements.

Culver

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 76 64 77 61 / 30 20 20 10 Atlanta 81 66 81 64 / 30 10 20 0 Blairsville 76 59 76 56 / 30 20 50 10 Cartersville 84 64 84 61 / 20 10 20 0 Columbus 84 67 84 64 / 10 10 10 0 Gainesville 79 65 79 62 / 30 20 30 10 Macon 79 66 81 63 / 30 20 10 10 Rome 86 66 86 64 / 10 10 20 0 Peachtree City 81 65 82 62 / 20 10 10 0 Vidalia 81 68 81 63 / 60 20 30 10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...Culver LONG TERM....Hernandez AVIATION...Culver

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion

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