882 FXUS61 KBGM 101801 AFDBGMArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 201 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure remains in control with sunny skies and seasonable temperatures through the end of the week. An upper level disturbance will push into the region this weekend with a chance for showers and thunderstorms Saturday night through Sunday.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure remains in control through the period. Persistence is the best forecast with very similar weather expected each day. Basically, mostly sunny skies with warm daytime temperatures and clear cool nights. Also, valley fog will be expected through the early morning hours and will persist until about 0900.
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.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Strong ridging and surface high pressure remains into Saturday with mostly clear skies and seasonable temperatures. On Saturday afternoon, the ridge may break down enough to allow a shortwave to propagate across the area from NW to SE bringing a chance for some light rain showers, but kept only slight chance PoPs for now as the dry conditions out ahead of this incoming system should be enough to ward off any moisture until late Saturday night or Sunday.
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.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The long term forecast remains uncertain with guidance showing several possible solutions. Stuck mostly with NBM forecast, however, took out thunder chances Saturday night into Sunday morning. Upper trough looks to push through on Sunday, but instability is still somewhat uncertain, so capped thunder chances at slight chance for now. High pressure will then try to make an appearance again for the start of next week and beyond.
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.AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... VFR conditions at all terminals are expected except ELM. Early morning valley for will impact ELM again overnight into Thursday morning. VLIFR conditions will be possible in the fog, but any fog should burn off by 0900.
Outlook...
Thursday afternoon through Monday...Mainly VFR. Valley fog each late night/early morning at KELM will likely bring restrictions. Isolated showers may also bring brief restrictions on Sunday.
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.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...None.
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SYNOPSIS...MPK NEAR TERM...MPK SHORT TERM...JTC/MPK LONG TERM...JTC/MPK AVIATION...MPK
NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion