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Gillham, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

294
FXUS64 KSHV 091138
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 638 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1144 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

- A warmup begins today and continues into the rest of the week before becoming of a stagnant copy and paste forecast

- Dry conditions look to prevail well into next week

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1144 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

The forecast remains largely unchanged across the region, with a persistent warming trend beginning today and continuing into the weekend. After a somewhat pleasant morning, temperatures will steadily climb into the 80s across the region today. As mentioned, a warming trend continues through Friday as highs return to the lower to mid 90s. We will see little variation in these temperatures throughout the weekend and honestly a copy and paste pattern is supported by the latest deterministic guidance, which continues to show a stagnant upper-level ridge centered over the Southern Plains. As Will Rogers once stated, "if you don`t like the weather, wait a minute." But unfortunately, or fortunately depending on what kind of weather you like, you might be waiting for a while to see a change in this pattern.

Upper-air analysis show a broad 500mb ridge that will expand across Texas and Louisiana with heights gradually rising through the weekend. The ridge axis remains firmly entrenched, suppressing vertical motion and limiting convective development. At the surface, high pressure centered over the southeast CONUS will continue to funnel dry air into the region, which will only act to reinforce the stable pattern. With no significant frontal boundaries or tropical intrusions expected, precipitation chances will remain near zero throughout this forecast period. Bottom line, skies will be mostly sunny, the air dry, and the forecast, well, reliably boring. Although sometimes, boring is beautiful. /33/

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR is on a roll with NE winds slowly backing to E for this cycle. Few cirrus and a midday cu field east of I-49. Otherwise, this dry late summer pattern will last through the coming weekend. /24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1150 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Spotter activation will not be needed.

33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 89 67 94 69 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 90 67 92 66 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 83 59 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 87 63 93 67 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 87 62 92 64 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 85 63 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 87 62 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 88 63 93 68 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...33 AVIATION...24

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion

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