907 FXUS63 KLBF 192331 AFDLBFArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 631 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Fog is possible tonight into early Saturday morning
- Isolated to scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms into early next week
- Brief warm up Sunday and Monday, before temperatures cool mid-week
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.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 347 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
The main concern in the short term will be fog potential tonight. Low level moisture and light winds will create areas of fog tonight, generally holding off until after midnight. Confidence is moderate in at least patchy fog development in the river valleys, Sandhills and portions of southwest and north central Nebraska. Where the uncertainty lies and less forecaster confidence is in how low the visibility will get or the dense fog potential. Models have differed from previous run and with the front pushing through earlier than expected it has lowered confidence in any widespread dense fog, thus have decided to hold off on a headline. Will need to continue to monitor this evening and as fog starts to develop tonight to see if we have widespread visibilities drop below 1/4 mile. Expect fog to lift by mid-morning and should see dry conditions for Saturday with highs reaching the 70s.
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.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 347 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
There is the potential for some isolated showers and thunderstorms Sunday evening across far western Nebraska. At this time confidence remains low as only a few models have suggested some isolated convection off the high terrain, thus have kept PoPs out of the forecast for now. The better potential for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be Monday late afternoon and evening as a shortwave trof moves in. Additional chance for showers and thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday with the cold front passage. Will also see temperature drop from the upper 70s to low 80s on Sunday and Monday into the upper 60s to low 70s after Tuesday through the rest of the long term forecast period.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 630 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the rest of the evening across western and north central Nebraska. Overnight, fog development is expected across the Sandhills, with dense fog expected prior to sunrise. The dense fog is expected to bring a rapid drop from MVFR to LIFR conditions across the region, lasting into the mid morning hours. By late morning, as the fog burns off, conditions quickly improve to VFR and remain so through the afternoon. While conditions are expected to remain VFR during the afternoon, mid to high level clouds are expected to track across the region.
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.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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SHORT TERM...Gomez LONG TERM...Gomez AVIATION...Richie
NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion