Hide A Way Lake, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

755
FXUS64 KSHV 102356
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
656 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Increasingly hot and slightly more humid conditions will return
   to the region over the next several days.
- No appreciable rain chances are on the horizon as upper-level
   ridging will continue to dominate the region.
- Drought and fire weather concerns may begin to increase with
   the prolonged period of heat and dry conditions.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
This increasingly benign and stagnant weather pattern doesn`t
appear to be departing us anytime soon. This is certainly more
reminiscent of a mid-summer regime dominated by an upper-level
ridge will only expand deeper into our region as we move through
the end of this week and into the upcoming weekend. This upper
ridge will serve to deflect any progressive disturbances or
frontal boundaries attempting to shift south toward our region,
keeping us rain-free with above average temperatures for the
foreseeable future.
To go along with those above average temperatures in the mid and
upper 90s by this weekend, we can also expect for humidity levels
to rebound as well. So those pleasant overnight and early morning
temperatures that we`ve been enjoying recently will also be going
by the wayside as returning Gulf moisture continues to help slowly
modify the air mass. With clear skies and near calm conditions
overnight, we may see some patchy fog develop in some of the more
outlying and protected areas across our region through daybreak
Thursday morning.
So in summary, the heat will only continue to build over the long
term period with negligible rain chances through the next 7 days.
Although drought and fire weather conditions have been very minimal
so far this summer, a prolonged period with daily highs in the mid
to upper 90s and void of any rainfall may result in at least some
elevated concerns along those lines. Otherwise, no major weather
concerns exist through this forecast period.
/19/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 650 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Generally clear skies prevail this evening, with the exception of
FEW-SCT mid and high level clouds advecting SE from Oklahoma.
These clouds will thin into the overnight as they continue south
and pose no threat to the airfields. With increasing low level
moisture, patchy fog may develop towards sunrise. Have introduced
MVFR vsbys to MLU, LFK, and ELD where probabilities of vsby
reduction lies between 30 and 40 percent. Fog will erode by 15z
and shortly give way to an afternoon cumulus field around 5-6kft.
Isolated convection may develop east of MLU and ELD but confidence
is high enough to leave mention of VCTS out of TAFs right now.
Winds becoming calm overnight under high pressure influence,
becoming variable Thursday 5kts or less.
Kovacik
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.
/19/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  71  96  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  68  95  70  97 /   0  10   0   0
DEQ  64  92  67  94 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  68  96  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  66  95  68  97 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  68  92  70  93 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  67  94  70  96 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  68  95  70  96 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...23

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion