Hinkley, California Weather Forecast Discussion

280
FXUS65 KVEF 092157
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
257 PM PDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* A low pressure system will bring breezy winds, cooler
  temperatures, and dry conditions to the Desert Southwest this week.
* Smoke from the Garnet Fire will continue to impact the Owens
  Valley and Esmeralda County during the overnight and morning hours
  for the next few days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...through Monday.
A low pressure system, currently located off the coast of northern
California, will dig into the area over the next few days. As a
result, we will see gusty southerly to southwesterly winds pick up
across the region on Wednesday and Thursday. Wind gusts will largely
be in the 20 to 40 mph range. However, isolated wind gusts in excess
of 40 mph will be possible across the eastern portions of our
forecast area where upper-level winds will be the strongest. In
addition to gusty winds, this system will also bring cooler than
normal temperatures with temperatures around 7 to 12 degrees below
normal during the second half of the week. The eastern Sierra and
northwestern Esmeralda County will see a 15 to 30% chance for
isolated showers on Wednesday and Thursday as this system moves in.
Otherwise, dry conditions are expected for the rest of the region.
As this system slowly pushes into the area, we will find ourselves
under southwesterly flow aloft through Thursday. This will allow for
smoke from the Garnet Fire in the western Sierra to be transported
into the Owens Valley and Esmeralda County. Reduced visibility and
poor air quality can be expected overnight into the morning hours as
smoke settles in valleys and lower elevations. Conditions look to
improve across the northwestern portions of our forecast area
beginning Friday as we find ourselves on the back side of the low
pressure system, which will result in northwesterly flow aloft.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast
Package...Southwesterly winds will continue through the forecast
period. Sustained speeds of 12-15KT with gusts to 20-25KT will
continue through early evening. Around sunset, there will be a
brief lull in winds before west-southwesterly gusts develop,
prevailing through the late evening hours. Gusts will drop off and
winds will fall to the southwest during the overnight hours. VFR
conditions with passing high clouds will prevail, with
temperatures remaining under 100 degrees.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Breezy southwesterly
winds will continue across the region into the early evening.
These breezy southwesterly winds will be accompanied by 20 to 25
knot wind gusts. Gusty westerly wind will continue across the
western Mojave Desert through the overnight period, with a brief
lull tomorrow morning before winds pick back up in the afternoon.
Winds across southern Nevada and northwest Arizona will favor a
more southerly direction through the overnight hours while winds
in the Owens Valley shift to their typical northerly downvalley
direction. Wildfire smoke remains a concern across portions of
Inyo County and the southwestern Great Basin, with MVFR/IFR
conditions due to low- level smoke expected in the Owens Valley
through early afternoon, with improvement then expected as winds
shift to the southeast and become gusty. This improvement will
last until early evening, with a return to northerly winds
allowing for another round of smoke to settle into the Owens
Valley. Elsewhere, VFR conditions prevail.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Stessman
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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion