Holcomb, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

202
FXUS63 KDDC 061600
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry today through tomorrow
- A warming trend expected next week with highs in the mid 80s to low
90s.
- Any rain chances will remain low through the forecast period.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 252 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The weather pattern above the US will start out with a long wave
trough to the east with a weak ridge to the west. As time
progresses, the trough should push eastward into the Atlantic Ocean
with the ridge building and moving over the Plains by mid week.
Northwest flow is expected above western Kansas through Tuesday then
shift to the southwest behind the ridge mid week into late week as
a trough of low pressure moves into the western United States.
Dry conditions are expected through Sunday with an increase in cloud
cover Sunday morning into the remainder of the day. Winds will
generally be from a southerly direction through this period with
highs reaching into the 70s today and tomorrow. The only exception
to this will be far western Kansas tomorrow where low 80s look to be
reached. Lows will dip into the mid 50s tonight and around 60
degrees tomorrow night.
There will be a slight chance of precipitation Monday morning through
Tuesday but most places look to remain dry. Uncertainty increases as
we head into mid week.  A few ensembles show additional shortwaves
bringing additional chances of precipitation while others keep us
dry.  Future monitoring of the models will be need to see what comes
to fruition. Nevertheless, southerly winds will continue through
next week with partly cloudy skies. A warming pattern is expected
next week with highs returning into the mid to upper 80s with lows
in the 60s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
There is a MVFR stratus deck across a portion of the terminals this
morning. This deck should erode as the day continues with VFR flight
conditions expected for the rest of the TAF pd. Some mid level clouds
cannot be ruled out for tomorrow, but further flight reductions in
cigs are not expected at this time. Winds will be light and variable
today. Stronger southerly winds of 10-15 kt are expected tomorrow
with gusts around 20 kt through the daylight hours.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Sugden

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion