Hondo, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

691
FXUS64 KEWX 171126
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
626 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Near to slightly above average September temperatures prevail.
- Isolated rains through the weekend, possibly becoming scattered
  next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM (THROUGH THURSDAY)...
A seasonably moist airmass continues over our area the remainder of
this week. There are no features that pass close enough to us in the
northwesterly flow aloft to provide forcing. So, heating and the
seabreeze will have to provide it. As a result, only very isolated
showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon into early
evening. Slightly above average temperatures continue due to neutral
thermal advection.
&&
.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
The pattern continues through this weekend with isolated afternoon
into early evening showers and thunderstorms mainly near the Coastal
Plains along with slightly above average temperatures.
An upper level trough/low and possibly a front drop south over our
area along with an increase to above average moisture levels early
next week. This would result in much greater coverage of showers and
thunderstorms and is seen in the latest (17/00Z) GFS and UKMET.
However, there is much uncertainty on this scenario as models and
ensembles over the last few days have been inconsistent and lacked
a consensus. Some even show no such features with minimal showers
and thunderstorms as seen in the latest (17/00Z) CMC. Will maintain
the previous forecasts and trend toward the NBM and its low chance
POPs and near average temperatures. Should this wetter scenario
unfold, then locally heavy rains and gusty thunderstorm winds are
possible.
&&
.AVIATION (12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
There are some high clouds streaming across the region this morning.
There are also some IFR clouds in the San Antonio area, but no ceilings.
Winds are light and variable and will become southeasterly at
10 kts or less by late morning.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              95  71  95 /   10   0  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  95  70  95 /   10   0  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     95  69  95 /   10   0  10
Burnet Muni Airport            91  69  91 /   10   0  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           93  73  94 /   10   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        93  70  94 /   10   0  10
Hondo Muni Airport             93  68  94 /   10   0  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        95  68  95 /   10   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   94  68  94 /   10   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       94  71  95 /   10   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           96  72  96 /   10   0  10
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM...04
AVIATION...05

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion