Iredell, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

338
FXUS64 KFWD 071056
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
556 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated showers and storms will be possible over Central Texas
  today.
- Cooler weather will continue through Tuesday before above normal
  temperatures return the latter half of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /Issued 118 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025/
/Today and Tonight/
As we start out the day, rather cool conditions are expected
with temperatures in the 60s across the region. A weak shortwave
is currently making its way east across West Texas, spreading
high cloud cover over our region. This shortwave will likely lead
to a few scattered showers prior to sunrise across Central Texas.
Precipitation chances (20-30%) will linger through the day as
weak forcing for ascent remains over Central Texas through around
sunset. With instability peaking this afternoon near 500 J/kg, a
storm or two cannot be ruled out; however, severe weather is not
expected. Across North Texas, no precipitation is expected given a
drier airmass and a lack of forcing for ascent.
After temperatures climb into the lower to mid 80s today,
tonight, expect conditions to be be back in the 60s for much of
the region. Our northeastern cities (Bonham, Paris and Sulphur
Springs area) will likely dip into the upper 50s prior to sunrise
Monday.
Hernandez
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 118 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025/
/Monday Onward/
With a decrease in available moisture after today, a relatively
dry and precipitation-free period will commence on Monday and
continue through the next 7 days. The area of high pressure that
was over northern Mexico will begin to expand into West Texas,
deflecting incoming systems away from North and Central Texas.
As surface pressure increases and temperatures aloft rise, expect
a gradual warming trend through the week. Temperatures Monday and
Tuesday will remain below normal with an inflection point
occurring on Wednesday. The latter half of the week will see
temperatures in the lower to mid 90s, which is 3-7 degrees above
normal for this time of the year.
Hernandez
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12z TAFs/
Widespread low clouds are now in place across across North Texas
with a mixture of MVFR to IFR conditions. The expectation is for
this mix of low ceilings to continue through around 13z-14z
before improvements commence. Ceilings will improve from east to
west as dry air moves in from the east.
For Waco, low clouds are now in the vicinity of the airport with
MVFR expected by 12z. Improvements will begin closer to 16z with
the return of VFR.
Wind direction and speed will be fairly consistent today with E/NE
winds at or below 10 knots. Any precipitation that develops this
morning or afternoon will be south of KACT, posing no major
concerns to aviation interests.
Hernandez
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    84  64  86  64  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                84  64  85  62  88 /   5   0   0   0   0
Paris               80  58  80  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              83  61  85  61  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            83  61  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              85  65  86  64  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             83  61  84  60  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           85  63  85  62  86 /   5   0   0   0   0
Temple              85  64  86  62  89 /  20   5   5   0   0
Mineral Wells       85  62  87  62  91 /   5   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion