Jennings, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

272
FXUS64 KLIX 221158
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
658 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
A broad but weak upper level sliding through the Central Plains
Sunday will be coming across the Mississippi Valley today. While
this will provide a little lift for convective development, PW
across the area will be rising during the day from west to east...
possibly approaches 2 inches west of I-55. No significant concerns
but could see coverage approaching 50% around Baton Rouge Metro.
CAMs and global models not too terrible different in terms of qpf
coverage solutions.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Latest global model runs are overall are similar to previous
solutions for latter half of this week, suggesting a local pattern
change. They show a piece of an upper trough dropping down southeast
across the Rockies mid week, closing off and deepening as it tracks
into and through the southern US. That bring a decent chance for
rain and quite noticeable drop in temps end of the week into next
weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 656 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals throughout this
forecast cycle. Only impact will be scattered convection across
western terminals this afternoon and evening. Since convection
will be scattered, only PROB30 is warranted at this time.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Surface ridge will remain generally east to northeast of the coastal
waters throughout the forecast period. This will yield light
onshore winds around 10 knots +/-5kts and seas around 2 feet.
Increased rain chances the next couple days means higher potential
for temporary wind direction changes, increases and a bump in seas.
Otherwise, minimal marine hazards expected.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  90  69  91  71 /  20  10  20  10
BTR  91  71  92  73 /  40  10  30  10
ASD  89  69  90  71 /  20   0  10   0
MSY  91  75  93  76 /  20   0  20  10
GPT  87  73  88  73 /  10   0  10   0
PQL  89  69  90  70 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...ME
LONG TERM....ME
AVIATION...JZ
MARINE...ME

NWS LIX Office Area Forecast Discussion