At 340 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated that the heavy rain had ended over the Sycamore Creek basin, however flash flooding remains a threat from earlier heavy rainfall. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.25 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, normally dry washes. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Flower Pot, Dugas, Cedar Mill and Cedar Bench Wilderness. This includes the following creeks, washes and rivers... Dry Creek, Ash Creek, Indian Creek, Sycamore Creek, Cienega Creek, Little Sycamore Creek, Agua Fria River, and Little Ash Creek.
At 337 PM MST, a stream guage on Big Bug Creek near Mayer reported water levels have lowered, however flooding remains a threat downstream of Mayer. A 4.4 foot rise was reported earlier in Mayer. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.75 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding in and around the Big Bug Creek. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the Big Bug Creek. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Spring Valley, Cordes Lakes, Mayer, and Cordes Junction. This includes the following highways... State Route 69 between mile markers 263 and 270. Interstate 17 between mile markers 262 and 263. This includes the following creeks, washes and rivers... Big Bug Creek, Agua Fria River and Hackberry Creek.
FFWFGZ The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Sycamore Creek in Yavapai County in west central Arizona... * Until 630 PM MST. * At 225 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the Sycamore Creek basin. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, normally dry washes. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Flower Pot, Dugas, Cedar Mill and Cedar Bench Wilderness. This includes the following creeks, washes and rivers... Dry Creek, Ash Creek, Indian Creek, Sycamore Creek, Cienega Creek, Little Sycamore Creek, Agua Fria River, and Little Ash Creek.
FFWFGZ The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Big Bug Creek in... Yavapai County in west central Arizona... * Until 500 PM MST. * At 204 PM MST, A river guage along Big Bug Creek in Mayer reported a 4.4 foot rise at 155 PM MST. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen over the Big Bug Creek basin. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.75 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding in and around the Big Bug Creek. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the Big Bug Creek. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Spring Valley, Mayer, Cordes Lakes, Agua Fria National Monument and Cordes Junction. This includes the following highways... State Route 69 between mile markers 263 and 274. Interstate 17 between mile markers 262 and 263. This includes the following creeks, washes and rivers... Hackberry Creek, Big Bug Creek, Grapevine Creek and Agua Fria River.
The National Weather Service issues alerts in different categories to indicate the severity of storms and if the public should take immediate action to prevent the loss of life or property or be aware of the potential of the same.
A weather warning is issued when severe weather conditions are occuring or imminent and there is danger to life and/or property. The warning will include what action should be taken including evacuation or shelter in place and should be heeded immediately. Warnings are usually issued for a small, specific area and for a definite period of time.
A weather watch is an alert issued by the National Weather Service when conditions are favorable for the development of severe weather. A weather watch means that severe weather is possible in the area, so it is important to stay tuned to the latest forecasts and be prepared for potential storms.
The purpose of a weather watch is to provide advance warning to people in the affected area so that they can take necessary precautions. It is important to remember that a weather watch does not mean that severe weather will definitely occur, but simply that there is a higher chance of it happening.
If you live in an area where severe weather is common, it may be wise to have a plan in place for what you will do if a storm hits. Make sure you have plenty of food and water stored, as well as flashlights, batteries, and other supplies. You may also want to consider evacuating if necessary.
An advisory means the conditions are likely to occur. These are typically used for less severe weather events like frost or winds but can be used for other types of severe weather.
A red flag warning is issued by the National Weather Service to inform the public, firefighters, and land management agencies that conditions are ideal for wildland fires and any fire which does start could spread rapidly. These are often issued after drought conditions, when humidity is very low and especially when there are high or erratic winds. The possibility of lightning is also a determining factor. Fire fighting agencies often will increase their staffing and equipment resources due to the forecast risk. For the public, a Red Flag Warning often means high fire danger leading to restrictions or bans on outdoor burning including burn piles, burn barrels and campfires. Use of anything which may produce sparks, including outdoor lawn equipment, chainsaws and welding, may be restricted or prohibited.
The weather criteria for fire weather watches and red flag warnings vary with each Weather Service office’s warning area based on the local vegetation type, topography, and distance from major water sources. They usually include the daily vegetation moisture content calculations, expected afternoon high temperature, afternoon minimum relative humidity and daytime wind speed.
An enhanced version of the warning, called extreme red flag warning, may be issued. This means that conditions for fire growth and behavior are extremely dangerous due to a combination of strong winds, very low humidity, long duration, and very dry fuels.