Kilgore, Kentucky Weather Forecast Discussion

527
FXUS61 KRLX 090615
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
215 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure maintains control over the area through much of
the week, yielding a stretch of dry weather amid a subtle
warming trend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 210 AM Tuesday...
Some areas of valley fog are starting to form under clear skies
this morning; however, light flow should result in less
coverage of fog than the past couple of mornings. Whatever fog
does form will quickly dissipate between 8 and 10 AM.
After a cool morning, temperatures are expected to warm into the
70s to low 80s in the lowlands and 60s to mid 70s along the
mountains. Meanwhile, the current stretch of quiet weather
continues uninterrupted throughout the day under the influence
of high pressure. Despite a lack of precipitation, and relative
humidity values once again descending into the 20s to 30s this
afternoon, fire weather concerns should remain relatively low.
For tonight, expect cool, dry, and mostly clear conditions with
low temperatures projected to fall into the 40s to low 50s.
Although coverage should again be fairly limited, patchy valley
fog remains a possibility late tonight into early Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 210 AM Tuesday...
During the middle of the week, an upper trough slowly moves
overhead while high pressure and dry air at the surface
continue to promote benign weather, in addition to a subtle
warming trend. Fire weather concerns may start to increase later
in the week as relative humidity values continue to fall into
the 20s to 30s each afternoon amid a prolonged period without
precipitation.
High temperatures are expected to warm into the mid 70s to 80s in
the lowlands and mid 60s to 70s along the mountains while nightly
lows range from mid 40s to mid 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 210 AM Tuesday...
Upper toughing recedes to the east as an upper ridge builds in
from the west late week into the weekend. The arrival of this
ridge is anticipated to sustain the ongoing dry and uneventful
weather pattern at least through the weekend. Beyond that,
forecast confidence starts to lessen as some models sustain dry
conditions while others bring a system towards the area early in
the new work week.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 110 AM Tuesday...
While the majority of the area should remain VFR into the
morning, areas of valley fog may prompt IFR/LIFR in some
locations early this morning. EKN remains the site with highest
confidence of fog development, though a few additional sites
could experience a brief period of restrictions closer to
sunrise. Any fog will dissipate in the 12 to 14Z range, then VFR
conditions are expected for the balance of the TAF period.
Winds will be calm to light and easterly into the morning, then
light with an east to southeast direction through the end of
the day.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and extent of valley fog may vary
this morning.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE                              TUE 09/09/25
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EDT 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    L    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    L    L    L    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
AFTER 06Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR possible in patchy early morning valley fog.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...20
NEAR TERM...20
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM...20
AVIATION...20

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion