La Feria, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

182
FXUS64 KBRO 121101 AAA
AFDBRO
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
601 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1022 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
An unsettled weather pattern continues across Deep South Texas as
ample moisture and weak impulses moving over the region will
continue to bring rain chances to Deep South Texas and the RGV,
especially in the afternoon. Rain chances will remain 20-50%
through Saturday, with a slight decrease in POPs on Sunday
(20-40%). A weak coastal trough begins to set up late this weekend
and will linger through next week with rain chances Monday
through Friday of 30-60%. The highest chance of rainfall will
coincide with the heating of the day and the sea breeze.
Temperatures will remain near normal each day with heat indices of
100 to 105 degrees through Saturday, then falling to upper 90s to
around 100 degrees for the remainder of the forecast period. Heat
Risk will be generally Minor (level 1 out of 4) with pockets of
Moderate (level 2 out of 4), mainly across the lower and mid
Valley, for the forecast period.
A moderate risk of rip currents is expected at area beaches over the
next few days.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Mostly clear skies and very light winds prevail across Deep South
Texas early this morning. Shower and thunderstorms chance
will increase later this morning into the afternoon. There is a
moderate chance of convection across the area today but confidence
remains low on showers and thunderstorms impacting terminals.
Therefore, will continue to mention VCSH/VCTS for all aerodromes
for this morning into the afternoon. VFR conditions will continue
for the next 24 hours, except for brief periods of IFR/MVFR
conditions in and around any convection.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1022 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Generally favorable conditions with mostly light to moderate winds
with seas of 2 to 4 feet and 5 to 7 second periods. Rain and
thunderstorm chances will continue on the waters off the lower
Texas coast. Any shower or thunderstorm activity will lead to
localized increased winds and seas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             91  77  92  77 /  50  40  50  20
HARLINGEN               93  74  94  72 /  50  20  40  10
MCALLEN                 96  77  96  75 /  50  20  40  10
RIO GRANDE CITY         95  75  95  73 /  50  10  40   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      88  82  88  82 /  50  40  40  30
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     90  77  90  77 /  50  30  40  20
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...68-McGinnis
LONG TERM....68-McGinnis
AVIATION...63-KC

NWS BRO Office Area Forecast Discussion