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Lowville, Pennsylvania Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS61 KCLE 081732
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 132 PM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will enter the region today and move east into New England for Tuesday and Wednesday. A cold front will move through the area on Wednesday night. High pressure will build from the north for the end of the week.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... A weak trough remains over Lake Erie this morning with cold advection aloft. Some clouds have developed along this feature, but some showers may develop in the pre-dawn hours and may drift into NE OH and NW PA this morning. Have some 20% PoPs to reflect some rain chances this AM. Otherwise, temperatures early this morning have cooled off quickly and adjusted temperatures down to have some upper 30s in NE OH/NW PA.

High pressure will build into the region today and backing flow will allow for any lake effect clouds or rain to stop with some warmer return flow entering by this afternoon. Temperatures this afternoon will still remain on the cooler side of normal with 60s and 70s. With clear conditions and calm winds tonight under high pressure, the atmosphere will decouple and temperatures for tonight will plummet into the 30s and 40s like this morning and frost potential will miss the area just off to the east in PA/NY. High pressure will be to the east of the area on Tuesday and dry weather will continue. Warmer return flow will allow for highs to be back toward normal in the 70s on Tuesday.

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.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... High pressure will continue to influence the region for the short term forecast period. A cold front will pass through the area on Wednesday night but will be a dry passage with a lack of moisture in the region and only a marginally cooler air mass that will not generate any lake effect clouds or rain. High pressure will build from the north behind this feature and retain the dry weather through Thursday. Temperatures through the period will be seasonable.

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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure north of the area will allow for dry weather to start the weekend. This surface high will shift east for Saturday into the New England states. For Sunday, a low pressure system and cold front may approach the region to give the next chance for rain; however, there is potential for this system to just miss the area entirely to the northeast and more dry weather will continue over the lake. Will have some slight chance PoPs for Sunday. Temperatures through the period remain seasonable.

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.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/... VFR conditions persist during the TAF period as high pressure influences the region. Generally light and variable flow will continue through Tuesday. The one exception will be northerly winds 8-10 knots impacting KCLE/KERI until ~00Z this evening due to a lake breeze. Northerly lake breeze winds will gradually become southeasterly at 5-8 knots overnight tonight.

Outlook...VFR through Saturday.

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.MARINE... A ridge of high pressure will exit to the northeast tonight but will continue to influence the local area through Wednesday night. Light northeast winds this afternoon and evening will generally trend southerly to southeasterly Tuesday and Wednesday. A weak cold front will approach Lake Erie from the north on Thursday before another area of high pressure builds overhead from the north. These two features will turn winds northeasterly to northerly Thursday and Friday. Winds during this time frame will remain between 5 and 10 knots.

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.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.

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SYNOPSIS...Sefcovic NEAR TERM...Sefcovic SHORT TERM...Sefcovic LONG TERM...Sefcovic AVIATION...13 MARINE...13

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion

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