Maiden, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

098
FXUS62 KGSP 081733
AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
133 PM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry and cool high pressure will persist over the region trough
the week with below normal temperatures expected through mid-week.
Temperatures will warm to near normal by late week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 115 PM EDT Monday: A dry and cool surface high pressure ridge
from a center in New England remains over the area through the
period. An upper trough settles over the area as well. Winds and
stratocu diminish by evening, but cirrus increases and streams
overhead through the period. Some stratocu may return Tuesday,
mainly across the mountains. Expect Gusty NE winds to return outside
of the mountains Tuesday morning as mixing taps the northeasterly
low level jet over the area. However, speeds should be lower than
today as the overall winds and pressure gradient are weaker. Lows
will be around 10 degrees below normal, with some 30s over the
higher ridges in the NC mountains. Highs Tuesday around 10 degrees
below normal as well.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1:25 PM EDT Monday: The short-term forecast picks up at 00z
on Wednesday with the large-scale upper level pattern gradually
amplifying again as broad upper trofing digs down over Ontario and
Quebec and upper ridging amplifying over the central CONUS. At the
sfc, broad high pressure will be centered well to our NE but still
be in control of the synoptic pattern across most of the eastern
CONUS. Over the next couple of days, a weak sfc low will develop
within the baroclinic zone just off the SE Coast and track north-
ward. The low is expected to be moving out over the north Atlantic
by the end of the period late Thurs. The latest guidance continues
to keep any deeper moisture associated with this system to our east.
As for the sensible fcst, not much has changed. We should remain dry
with temperatures warming each day but still remaining a few degrees
below normal for mid-September.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1:05 PM EDT Monday: The extended fcst picks up at 00z on
Friday with upper trofing centered to our north as stout upper
ridging persists to our west over the central CONUS. Over the
next few days, the upper ridge tries to spread over our area
from the west, yet most of the long-range guidance has some
amount of upper trofing lingering along the Eastern Seaboard
and to our north. At the sfc, broad high pressure will get
reinforced from the north as the period begins late Thursday.
Over the next few days, the center of the high will migrate
SE and eventually off the coast of Nova Scotia on Sunday.
Nonetheless, we are expected to remain under its influence
thru the period with little chance for precip. Temperatures
are expected to start out just below climatology on Friday
and then warm to just above climo by the end of the period
next Monday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions expected through the period
at all TAF sites. VFR stratocu is dissipating but will linger a
little longer over the mountains. Otherwise, mainly cirrus expected
to move overhead through the period. Gusty NE winds continue through
the afternoon for all but KAVL where light SE winds continue. Wind
becomes light NE tonight for all but KAVL where light and variable
wind develops. Low end gusty NE wind returns with mixing Tuesday
morning, light N wind at KAVL. Mainly cirrus through the day as
well.
Outlook: VFR and dry into the weekend. Fog and/or low stratus is
possible each morning, especially in the mountain valleys.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...RWH
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...RWH

NWS GSP Office Area Forecast Discussion