755 FXUS62 KFFC 140530 AFDFFCArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 130 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...
.SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 128 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Key Messages
- No imminent hazardous weather is anticipated in Georgia.
- Expect dry weather and fair skies through Monday.
Today through Monday:
If Saturdays weather was your thing then you`ll be a happy camper today and Monday as well. Northeasterly flow, induced by a trough along the East Coast and ridge over the Ozarks, will continue to funnel dry air into Georgia. It won`t be as dry as Saturday, but with precipitable water values languishing near 1.1 inches both days there won`t be much moisture to go around. A lack of any meaningful sources of lift will reduce the rain potential even further. This should lead to 99% of north and central Georgia remaining dry through Monday. Just like the last couple of days, diurnal heating over mountains of north Georgia could produce a few sprinkles between 4 PM and 9 PM either day. Any rainfall would be very light, lightning free and less than 0.03 inches.
Temperatures through Monday will remain stagnant. Widespread highs in the mid to upper 80s will be the norm, along with morning lows in the lower 60s. Lower dewpoints will help temperature trend towards comfortable values each evening.
Albright
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.LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 128 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Key Messages:
- Dry pattern continues with no meaningful precipitation potentially through much of next week.
- Highs in the mid 80s and even low 90s through much of the period.
Weather pattern remains relatively unchanged through the long term period. Conditions remain dry through the period with PWATs below the 50th percentile and limited to no mid/upper level shortwave energy through at least Tuesday. Temperatures through the weekend and into early next week will be in the upper 80s and low 90s.
Models continue to resolve the cut-off upper level low within the wave-break. GEFS and ECMWF ensembles show the upper level low remaining generally along the coast, keeping both tropical moisture and near surface cyclogenesis mostly along the coast as well. Some moisture may make it into far northwest GA and, when combines with upslope flow, may generate some showers or even light thunderstorms. PoPs remain below 10 percent for all areas except the far northeast corner of the CWA Tuesday. Would not be surprised to see this to flip-flop between 0 PoPs and 15% PoPs over the coming days. As the cut-off lifts northeastward, dry conditions return Wednesday and Thursday.
Moving into end of day Thursday and early Friday, the ridge portion of the wave-break pattern collapses with the influx of shortwave energy from the northern plains. Moisture flux from this wave may bring PWATs back into the 1.5" range, near the 75th percentile. Forcing and increased moistures means a return of more meaningful PoPs into North Georgia Friday afternoon into Saturday. Any decrease in moisture will result in a similar decrease in PoPs.
SM
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 124 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
VFR conditions (unrestricted visibility and cloud bases AOA 5000 ft AGL) will continue through at least 12Z Monday. Winds will be primarily from the northeast (020-070 degrees today) at 2 to 8 kt, though northwest winds of the same magnitude are expected in northwest Georgia.
//ATL Confidence...06Z Update... Moderate confidence in the winds remaining northeasterly today. High confidence in the precipitation, ceiling and visibility forecasts.
Albright
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 59 85 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 63 88 66 87 / 0 0 10 0 Blairsville 57 80 59 80 / 0 10 10 10 Cartersville 62 88 64 88 / 0 0 10 0 Columbus 63 89 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 61 86 64 85 / 0 10 10 0 Macon 60 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 61 89 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 61 87 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 61 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0
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.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Albright LONG TERM....SM AVIATION...Albright
NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion