Merkel, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

618
FXUS64 KSJT 251813
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
113 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Coolest temperatures since May for many areas tonight with lows
  in the 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Coolest readings since May for many areas of West Central Texas
expected tonight. Surface high pressure will settle across the
area and then shift into Central Texas by morning. This will allow
for winds to become nearly calm and then shift around and become
very light from the southeast by sunrise Friday morning. Dewpoints
have dropped into the mid and upper 50s and this will combine with
radiatonal cooling to allow overnight lows to drop into the mid
50s to lower 60s tonight, depending in part on soil moisture and
evapotranspiration as well as topography.
Warming trend starts for Friday with temperatures rebounding into
the upper 80s to around 90.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 108 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A weak high pressure ridge develops for the remainder of this
week, which will act to keep temperatures warm and dry. Then, the
GFS and ECMWF both depict a low pressure developing across the
southern end of California and Arizona. This system will weaken
the higher pressure, but most of the rain will remain off to the
west of our area through the weekend. By early next week, this low
appears to weaken and move east towards the Plains. However, rain
chances will still remain minimal through next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas terminals
through Friday morning. Light northerly winds this afternoon will
become light and variable overnight, before eventually becoming a
light southeast at less than 5 knots Friday morning.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     60  90  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  89  59  91 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    57  89  58  91 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   58  88  58  91 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  61  90  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       58  88  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       60  86  59  88 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...07

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion