Mount Calm, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

844
FXUS64 KFWD 281813
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
113 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Quiet weather is expected through next weekend with near to
  slightly above normal temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Today through Monday Afternoon/
Upper level ridging will continue to dominate the regional
weather as the closed low remains overtop the Desert Southwest. A
fetch of high moisture will continue to make its way east-
northeast around the base of the low and apex of the ridge,
spreading across North and Central Texas. With no rain chances in
sight, expect tranquil conditions to persist with afternoon highs
mainly in the 80s and cool overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s.
Prater
&&
.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Monday Evening Onward/
Eventually the trough to our west will move east early in the
week, with a low moving across the region by Tuesday. Upper-level
moisture will continue to spread east out ahead of the low,
leading to increased cloud cover and warmer Tuesday morning
temperatures in the 60s to low 70s. The low will eventually move
off to our south towards the end of the week, with dry and
tranquil conditions persisting into next weekend. Temperatures
will remain near to slightly above normal as we head into the
weekend, with morning lows in the 60s and afternoon highs in the
80s and 90s.
Prater
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/18Z TAFs/
Winds AOB 7 kts and increasing cirrus clouds will be the
prevailing conditions at the TAF sites over the next 24 to 30
hours. While winds will be variable at times, the overall
direction will trend easterly, oscillating between ESE and ENE.
Prater
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    88  67  88  68  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                87  63  86  66  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               86  61  86  65  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              88  61  87  63  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            87  62  87  65  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              89  67  88  69  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             87  62  87  65  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           89  65  88  67  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              87  60  87  63  89 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       89  61  88  63  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion