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New Bern, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

984
FXUS62 KMHX 171919
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 319 PM EDT Wed Sep 17 2025

.SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move through the area on Saturday and stall offshore. A coastal trough or coastal low may then develop along the stalled front early next week.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 230 PM Wednesday...

Key Messages

- Below normal temperatures continue today

- Low stratus and patchy fog possible tonight

The coastal low that plagued parts of the area over the past couple of days has weakened and is now located over the delmarva peninsula this afternoon. A moist, cyclonic flow around the southern periphery of the low is expected to keep low clouds socked in across the northern half of ENC through the remainder of today. Clearing to the south has allowed highs to reach the low 80s. Further north with low level cloud cover, highs are near 70F.

In the wake of the low, weakening winds and clearing skies may support a fog and low stratus risk across parts of the area, especially inland where we have the best chance of calm conditions. The latest probabilistic guidance suggests the risk of dense, impactful fog is LOW (

NWS MHX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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