183 FXUS63 KDLH 091631 AFDDLHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Duluth MN 1131 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered rain showers with a rumble of thunder or two possible for the rest of today and into Wednesday, particularly across northwest Wisconsin.
- Chances for areas of dense fog return tonight, especially around Lake Superior and where skies clear this afternoon and evening.
- High pressure will keep us dry until Friday with a warm front. On and off chances for showers and storms will last through the weekend into early next week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1126 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A stationary front currently positioned from the Brainerd Lakes stretching northeast along the North Shore is leading to some low stratus and isolated showers. This will continue as the front slowly moves to the southeast for this afternoon through Wednesday. A rumble of thunder or two are also possible with the smallest amount of CAPE available to these showers. As the front moves away from the Northland, a high pressure is filling in behind with clearing skies. Tonight, lingering moist conditions from today`s rain may lead to more patchy dense fog, similar to what we saw this morning. The highest chances will be in areas that see skies clearing today and areas along Lake Superior. A dense fog advisory may be needed across much of the area and the nearshore waters tonight.
High pressure combined with an upper level ridge will settle in for the mid week, leading to quiet weather until Friday. Partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies are expected, and warming temperatures into the 70s each day.
Thursday night, the backside of the ridge will move over the Northland and the high will move off to the east. Warm air advection will lead to increasing chances for showers and storms for Friday. This flow will remain for the out of the south for the majority of the weekend, with several slight chances for rain showers and general thunderstorms. Though the greatest uncertainty is not necessarily whether showers will occur, but where. No severe weather is expected during the weekend.
Into next week, a small shortwave will move up the southwesterly flow, leading to more widespread chances for showers and storms. More details will be available as we move through the week.
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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1126 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Low MVFR/IFR ceilings continue into this afternoon with a slow front moving southeast throughout the day. INL has already lifted to VFR and is expected to remain throughout the rest of the day. Next concern will be the return of low ceilings and visibilities tonight with fog, especially near Lake Superior and where skies clear. Sites most likely to see dense fog tonight are INL, HIB, and DLH. BRD will also have a decent chance for fog if skies remain clear into this evening.
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.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/... Issued at 1126 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Foggy conditions over Lake Superior continue. Fog is expected to slowly clear throughout the afternoon, but will likely return quickly this evening into the overnight hours. An additional dense fog advisory may be needed for much of the western Lake Superior near shore waters. Additionally, some scattered showers and an occasional storm are possible along the South Shore this afternoon.
For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.
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.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...Dense Fog Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for MNZ021. WI...None. MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for LSZ140- 141.
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DISCUSSION...KML AVIATION...KML MARINE...KML
NWS DLH Office Area Forecast Discussion