Palito Blanco, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

511
FXUS64 KCRP 160523
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1223 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
- Low (10-30%) shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday and low to
  medium (25-45%) chances Wednesday through Saturday
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Not much chance in terms of the forecast once again. We are expected
to see some shower activity through the remainder of the week. This
is due to some expected shortwaves that will ride the eastern
periphery of the aforementioned 700-850mb ridge that will slowly
progress to the east. Moisture will continue returning into the area
returning to normal levels to slightly above normal levels (1.8-2.0
inches). This will be coupled with the daily seabreeze instability
that develops with daytime heating to allow for showers and
thunderstorms each day. Chances increase during the mid-latter
portions of the week (Wed. and Thurs.) as models continue to hint at
a near surface low that will develop over eastern Mexico. This would
further enhance lift allowing for a low to medium chances (25-55%)
across the Southern Coastal Plains and Rio Grande Plains. PoPs will
hang around 20-30% through the weekend before potentially increasing
once again next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle with light
and variable winds tonight and tomorrow night and moderate winds
during the afternoon hours.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1115 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly conditions
expected to persist throughout the week. There will be a low to
medium chance (35-65%) of showers and thunderstorms through the
week into the weekend. Seas will generally range from 3 to 5 feet
through midweek then from 2 to 3 feet.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    75  91  75  91 /   0  20  10  30
Victoria          68  94  69  94 /   0  10   0  10
Laredo            72  96  72  97 /  10  10   0  20
Alice             70  94  70  94 /   0  20  10  30
Rockport          77  91  77  90 /  10  20  20  20
Cotulla           72  95  71  96 /   0   0   0  10
Kingsville        72  92  72  92 /   0  20  10  40
Navy Corpus       80  88  80  88 /  10  30  30  30
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion