Paragould, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

028
FXUS64 KMEG 292341
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
641 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 626 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- High pressure will bring a continuation of dry weather into next
  weekend.
- Temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the upper
  80s to near 90 degrees.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Sunday)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
High pressure at the surface and aloft prevail across the region
this morning with clear skies. Temps are quickly climbing above
80 degrees and winds are light from the northeast.
Not much excitement over the next 7 days as surface high pressure
remains anchored over the eastern CONUS and TS Imelda heads out to
sea. Expect dry weather and warmer than normal temperatures to
continue with highs in the upper 80 to near 90. A weak shear axis
across the region and a slight uptick in surface moisture could
lead to an isolated shower or storm Wed into Thu but that is a
stretch. That uptick in moisture pushes west of the area by Friday
with dry and mild conditions continuing into early next week.
The weak shear axis across the Mid-South will drift south by the
end of the week, perhaps forming a weak upper low along the Gulf
coast by the weekend. Latest guidance lifts this feature northeast
toward the Carolinas early next week with little impact on the
Mid-South. No appreciable rainfall is on the horizon for the next
10 days and temps will remain above normal.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period at all sites. Light
northeast winds will increase to 6-9 kts on Tuesday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Fire weather concerns remain low as minimum relative humidity
values of 35 to 45 percent are expected into next weekend. 20 ft
winds will also be light at 5-10 knots. Wetting rain chances
remain low through the entire forecast period. So, fuels will
begin drying again for the foreseeable future.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...CJC

NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion