Penwell, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

299
FXUS64 KMAF 211944
AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
244 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 245 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
- Near-record high temperatures expected for Monday, the first day
  of Autumn, and possibly the warmest day the rest of the year.
- Low (10-30%) storm chances return Tuesday afternoon and
  evening across the eastern Permian Basin, Lower Trans Pecos, and
  Davis Mountains. The primary threats for the strongest storms
  will be brief heavy rainfall, lightning, and gusty winds.
- A cold front intrudes upon the area Tuesday night and Wednesday,
  bringing temperatures to near/slightly below normal. Rain
  chances will increase to around 20-40% during this timeframe.
  High gap winds will be possible in Guadalupe Pass Wednesday and
  Wednesday night.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
An upper level ridge will continue to push in from northern Mexico
and the subsequent subsidence will keep rain chances low(

NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion