Poulan, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

698
FXUS62 KTAE 190535
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
135 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
A weak upper level shortwave trough north of the area combined with
precipitable water values around 1.5 inches may lead to isolated
coverage of pop-up showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. We saw
pop-up activity on Thursday afternoon across our northern counties
with coverage around 10-20% there. Slightly higher moisture today is
expected to lead to a greater area seeing isolated activity, but the
key word remains isolated. Any rain will be brief, and most areas
will remain dry. Afternoon highs will generally be in the low to mid
90s with overnight lows ranging from the mid 60s to around 70.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Mainly dry weather is expected to continue through the weekend. A
slightly drier airmass on Saturday compared to today will likely
confine the isolated mention of afternoon showers and thunderstorms
to the seabreeze zone close to the coast. Elsewhere, PoPs look to be
less than 20%. High temperatures will generally remain in the low to
mid 90s with overnight lows in the mid 60s to near 70.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
There still does not appear to be a good signal for widespread rain
through the middle of next week. Another weak upper level trough
will move through from the west on Monday into Tuesday, but moisture
return look anemic with only isolated coverage at best again.
Eventually, a stronger upper level trough could begin to affect the
area by the end of the week into next weekend, but the bulk of that
is just beyond the 7 day period currently. At that range, confidence
remains low. In the meantime, high temperatures next week are
expected to be generally in the low 90s with overnight lows ranging
from the mid 60s to low 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Patchy fog is possible around sunrise, mostly at ECP/ABY, but aside
from that VFR conditions with light winds will prevail through the
TAF period. Some showers are possible, along the seabreeze in
Florida and across inland Georgia zones from 18-00z but confidence
is too low to warrant mention in the TAFs for now.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Mainly light winds and low seas are expected for the next several
days during the afternoon hours with onshore flow along the coast in
association with the seabreeze. Easterly wind surges are possible
during the overnight and early morning hours this weekend, bringing
winds occasionally around 15 knots.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Dry weather will continue for the next several days. While critical
RH values and wind speeds are not expected, the continued dry
weather and increasing drought conditions will keep fire concerns
elevated. A seabreeze is expected near the coast this afternoon.
Increasing dispersion values this weekend will also heighten
concerns for any wildfires that occur.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 132 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Although an isolated storm or two is possible today, there are no
widespread rain chances in the forecast for the next several days.
Drought concerns will continue to grow as the dry days continue.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   93  69  92  68 /  20  10  10   0
Panama City   91  72  91  72 /  20  10  20   0
Dothan        93  67  92  67 /  10  10  10   0
Albany        94  68  92  66 /  20  10  10   0
Valdosta      92  67  92  67 /  20  20  10   0
Cross City    93  68  92  68 /  20  20  20   0
Apalachicola  88  73  86  73 /  20  10  20   0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...Dobbs
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD

NWS TAE Office Area Forecast Discussion