971 FXUS63 KGRB 261047 AFDGRBArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 547 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An extended period of low-impact weather is forecast through next Thursday. Above average temperatures are expected during this time. Greatest chances (40-70%) of highs reaching or exceeding 80 degrees will be Saturday and Monday.
- Any fog late this morning should be quite patchy. More fog is possible tonight into Saturday morning.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 219 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Patchy dense fog will be possible this morning; however, observations and model data indicate it will not be as ubiquitous or dense as the last few nights.
A weak moisture starved cold front will continue sinking south through the area today, bringing slightly cooler temperatures to the region. Some clouds will sink south behind the cold front today, with some sprinkles possible across central and east- central Wisconsin this afternoon. Some patchy fog is once again possible late tonight into Saturday morning as moisture gets trapped in the lowest portion of the atmosphere underneath a subsidence inversion.
High pressure will then be firmly in control of the weather this upcoming weekend and well into next week as an upper level ridge establishes itself over the Great Lakes region. This will bring dry weather and well above normal conditions for this time of year. In fact the probability of hitting at least 80 is highest on Saturday (40-70% chance) east of Stevens Point as well as on Monday (40-70% chance) across much of central and east-central Wisconsin. The coolest night will be Saturday night when some upper 30s will be possible across northern Wisconsin, with lows generally in the 40s and 50s during this period. This pattern will continue to favor fog during the late night/early morning, with some nights experiencing more widespread and denser fog than others.
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.AVIATION...for 12Z TAF Issuance Issued at 546 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
A deck of MVFR/IFR CIGs continues to push south this morning as a cold front sinks south across the region. Any fog this morning should be brief and is not expected to impact the TAF sites. The best chance for MVFR/IFR CIGs is across east-central Wisconsin with lesser chances across central Wisconsin. Skies will then clear this afternoon as high pressure builds in across the region. Patchy fog is expected tonight with MVFR/IFR conditions, with the best chances across north-central and central Wisconsin. LLWS is expected late tonight across central and north-central Wisconsin as winds increase just off the surface.
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.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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DISCUSSION.....Kurimski AVIATION.......Kurimski
NWS GRB Office Area Forecast Discussion