Refugio, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

199
FXUS64 KCRP 110531
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1231 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
- Seasonal temperatures continue through the weekend into next week
- Next best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be Friday
  and early next week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A mid to upper level ridge will continue to remain in firm control
over South Texas through the weekend before zonal flow returns early
next week. The presence of this ridge will help limit the
development of showers and thunderstorms, however, a weak shortwave
and areas of positive vorticity advection will ride the eastern
periphery of the ridge Friday promoting medium (30-60%) chances for
rain across all of South Texas except for the Victoria Crossroads.
Our next best chances for rain will then return early next week with
low to medium (30-50%) chances for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday afternoon.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle with light
winds tonight and tomorrow night and gusty winds in the
afternoon. There is a medium chance for MVFR ceilings to develop
early tomorrow morning between 12-15z across LRD and COT.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) is expected through the weekend
into next week with brief periods of a fresh breeze (BF 5)
developing Thursday afternoon. Medium (30-60%) chances for showers
and thunderstorms can be expected Thursday and Friday with drier
conditions this weekend before medium rain chances return once again
early next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    92  77  92  77 /  30  20  50  10
Victoria          95  71  95  70 /  20   0  10   0
Laredo            99  74  96  74 /  10  10  60  10
Alice             96  73  94  72 /  20  10  50  10
Rockport          91  79  92  79 /  30  20  30  10
Cotulla           97  74  95  73 /  10   0  40   0
Kingsville        94  74  92  72 /  30  20  50  10
Navy Corpus       89  80  89  82 /  30  40  50  20
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...JCP/84

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion