Rochert, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

710
FXUS63 KFGF 070230
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
930 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widespread frost is possible tonight into Sunday morning. Lows
  are expected to fall into the low to mid 30s across much of
  the area.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 929 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Showers have all but ended this evening. Some mid-level clouds
will remain overnight tonight, but the only weather impact
should remain from frost. Dewpoints remain high enough such that
a widespread freeze remains a low probability.
UPDATE
Issued at 613 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Isolated showers will continue in northwest Minnesota this
evening but will diminish overnight. Skies should clear out from
west to east bringing frost potential to the region overnight.
As such, no major changes to this forecast update in terms of
impacts.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 326 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...Synopsis...
Northwest flow continues today into Sunday before becoming more
zonal heading into Monday. Shortwave ridging develops to the west,
then moves eastward into the Northern Plains late Monday into
Tuesday, bringing limited return flow ahead of a thermal boundary.
This could bring showers and thunderstorms into parts of the area
Monday evening through early Tuesday morning. A strong storm or two
is possible, however, widespread severe storms are not supported.
Wednesday looks to remain dry and warm as the ridge axis traverses
the area. Southwest H5 flow develops heading into Thursday, allowing
another mention of showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday night
through the weekend. Ensembles support enough instability to bring a
mention of strong thunderstorms into the forecast; however,
confidence is too low at this time to know the exact details and
timing.
...Frost Possible Tonight into Sunday Morning...
Cloud cover will gradually clear this evening and overnight, with
good support for favorable radiative cooling across much of the
area. Lows could fall into the lower 30s in the cooler spots;
however, many areas will likely see mid to upper 30s with light
winds. As such, there should be decent support for widespread frost
potential across much of eastern North Dakota and northwest
Minnesota. A frost advisory will be in effect starting at 2am Sunday
and will go through 8am Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 613 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Winds will diminish to generally light and variable after
sunset. By tomorrow, as winds start to increase, expect wind
directions to shift to southwesterly. Skies will remain VFR for
the entire TAF period with generally low aviation impacts.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM CDT Sunday for NDZ006>008-
     014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.
MN...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM CDT Sunday for MNZ001>009-
     013>017-022>024-027>029.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Perroux
DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...Perroux

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion